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These results do not correspond to the polls cited in Royal would win. were it not for the +65.:

The 18 to 24 set strongly backed Ms. Royal, giving her 58 percent, according to Ipsos.

But voters in the 25 to 34 years old group nearly equally strongly backed Mr. Sarkozy, a conservative, giving him 57 percent.

The vote was 50-50 in the 35 to 44 age group, while voters of 45 to 59 years -- the May '68 generation whom Sarkozy recently denounced -- chose Ms. Royal.

Mr. Sarkozy's strongest backing by age group, however, came from voters older than 60. Among those 70 and older, a whopping 68 percent preferred him. In the Paris metropolitan area, the vote split 50-50, Ipsos found.

Is it possible that 25-34 year olds so strongly favored Sarkozy because they are the ones who are going through or most recently went through the travails of securing employment and are exasperated by their experiences?

Truth unfolds in time through a communal process.

by marco (cowannar at gmail punkt com) on Mon May 7th, 2007 at 12:52:52 PM EST
Or maybe they rebel against ther babyboomer parents?

Or they are the eighties kids?

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Mon May 7th, 2007 at 01:23:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I saw that too and wondered if its an error. It would be rare to see a configuration like that.
by desmoulins (gsb6@lycos.com) on Mon May 7th, 2007 at 03:42:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I saw that too and wondered if its an error. It would be rare to see a configuration like that.

Interesting.  I just realized I forgot to include the source, which was the New York Times' Meg Bortin's "With Sarkozy, Bush May Find a Close Friend in France".  But oddly, when you go to that liink, you now get "With Sarkozy, Bush May Find a Close Friend in France" by Elaine Sciolino, which does not include those figures.

However, Meg Bortin's article is still on the International Herald Tribune version of the article, including the passage I excerpted.

At any rate, the same figures are cited again in another article:

Sarkozy Win Comes From Unlikely Corners

According to the Ipsos poll, Sarkozy cruised in his traditional electoral base: 82 percent of small business owners, and 67 percent of farmers voted for him. Befitting a conservative, he won 61 percent of votes by those over age 61, and 68 percent among voters 70 or older.

Royal's best showing was among 18- to 24-year-olds, but Sarkozy tallied 57 percent among the 25- to 34-year-old tranche. <...>

Nicolas Sarkozy won the women's vote and fared well among blue-collar workers, even though his rival for the French presidency was a woman and a Socialist.

<...>

Official figures showed Sarkozy won France's one-time industrial heartland in the north, which French media said had not voted for a rightist presidential candidate since Charles de Gaulle in 1965.

Sarkozy even tallied nearly 44 percent of the vote in the Seine-Saint-Denis region north of Paris, where a wave of rioting erupted in late 2005 while he was interior minister and infuriated many there by calling troublemakers ''scum.''

<...>

''The main attraction among workers were the security-immigration duo, which works, and the values of hard work: He put the emphasis on increasing purchasing power,'' said Frederic Dabi, a pollster with Ifop.

On one U.S. radio program (Diane Rehm Show), Philip Gordon (Brookings Institution scholar and English translator of Sarkozy's book Testimony) also stated that the only age group that Royal won more votes in was the 18 to 24 year olds.

Truth unfolds in time through a communal process.

by marco (cowannar at gmail punkt com) on Mon May 7th, 2007 at 09:56:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Le Point: Nicolas Sarkozy triomphe auprès des seniors, selon Ipsos

Ségolène Royal a réalisé son meilleur score auprès des 18-24 ans avec 58% des suffrages.

Chez les 35-44 ans, les deux finalistes recueillent chacun 50% des voix, Nicolas Sarkozy obtient 57% des suffrages des 25-34 ans et Ségolène Royal 55% des suffrages de 45-59 ans.

Selon Ipsos, 54% des hommes ont voté pour Nicolas Sarkozy et 52% des femmes.

Selon les résultats définitifs du second tour, le candidat de l'UMP a obtenu 53,06% des voix, soit près de 19 millions de votes.

Nicolas Sarkozy a réalisé ses meilleurs scores en milieu rural (57%) et dans les villes de 20.000 à 100.000 habitants (56%), tandis que Ségolène Royal obtient ses meilleurs résultats dans les villes de plus de 100.000 habitants (50%) et l'agglomération parisienne (50%).

Les artisans et commerçants ont voté à 82% pour Nicolas Sarkozy, les agriculteurs à 67%, les professions libérales et les cadres supérieurs à 52%.

Ségolène Royal arrive en tête chez les professions intermédiaires (51%), les employés (51%) et les ouvriers (54%).



Truth unfolds in time through a communal process.
by marco (cowannar at gmail punkt com) on Mon May 7th, 2007 at 10:01:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Fredouil has been harping that the only age group that prefers Royal is 18-24 and they are always wrong.

Bush is a symptom, not the disease.
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon May 7th, 2007 at 03:53:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]
It would be nice to have a poll with the useful demographics of the vote (% of voters per age group) so that we can confirm the vote of the 25-34 y.o. Do you know of one?

Also the IPSOS poll shows that women voted in greater proportion for SR than males in all age groups,  especially for the under 60 y.o. It seems to question comments about the relative conservatism of french women: IPSOS poll, see page 3

by Fete des fous on Mon May 7th, 2007 at 09:41:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Maybe not so surprising. 25-34 is the age when you first work and have to pay taxes (and in France you pay lots more when you're childless and/or single), you need very little healthcare or other forms of distribution,

Maybe they  feel they can take care of themselves well enough and don't want to be dragged down by others, and were attracted by Sarkozy's superficial discourse.

Also, you don't worry yet about schools, pensions are far away - you just want to get ahead in life.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Tue May 8th, 2007 at 06:04:05 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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