I don't know if this has been posted yet, but a cyclone is going to hit Iran.
This has never happened before in recorded history, and in addition to the human cost that will come from having such a destructive force hit where mud brick is a popular building material, I have to wonder what effect this will have on the Straights of Hormuz. 20% of the world's oil supply goes through those straights, and even a week or two when where the straights were unnavigable because of shifts in the sea bottom could be bad for oil prices.
I'm suprised Jerome hasn't been on this yet. And I'll give my consent to any government that does not deny a man a living wage-Billy Bragg
This is an unprecedented event. NO CYCLONE has ever entered the Gulf of Oman. And there are no custom 'storm surge' models available for that area. This forecast is based on my experience and subjective analysis of the seabed slope and storm surge interaction with the sea floor. Considering the region has never experienced a hurricane, let alone a strong one it is highly unlikely the loading facilities or platforms were constructed to withstand the forces - both wave action and wind force - that they will experience. Significant, damage will occur. How much long term damage, and the volumes associated with it - can not be determined at this time. --Steve Gregory.
--Steve Gregory.
The UNESCO paper indicates that rainfall and flooding have typically been a much greater problem than windspeed, which is what I would have expected to be the case. This region is simply not equipped for heavy rainfall.
Openly evil tecnology.
