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The collapse was caused by a civil war, which raged from the early 90s. I tried to find stats to back up the graph but I could find nothing at the source stated on wiki (FAO) and the UN's population stats database only has 5-yearly statistics. I don't think the graph is entirely accurate, or at least statistics derived from the IMF contradict it. You have to go with the overall picture. After 1995, it seems the population recovered quite quickly, maybe due to the return of most of the 2 million refugees (no way of checking whether and how they figure in the stats).

I don't think technological progress has been high enough in the agricultural sector of Rwanda to relieve the pressure that was there before. But maybe they figured out that genocide doesn't really function as population control.

by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Sat Jun 9th, 2007 at 04:05:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The proximate cause of the dieoff was a civil war, but what what the systemic cause? Overcrowding?

Can the last politician to go out the revolving door please turn the lights off?
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sat Jun 9th, 2007 at 04:07:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, I don't know if I agree with the notion of systemic causality. There is a multitude of factors. Overcrowding is one background cause, but you also have others, like the distribution of political power and economic wealth, and the development thereof. Communication technology like radio also played an important role in the dissemination of hate-filled propaganda.

I think the most interesting causes to be researched are in individual and mass psychology. What causes the majority of a society to become sociopathic? Does it learn or can it happen again?

by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Sat Jun 9th, 2007 at 04:37:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I don't see how "the graph is entirely accurate, or at least statistics derived from the IMF contradict it":


Can the last politician to go out the revolving door please turn the lights off?
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sat Jun 9th, 2007 at 05:20:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]
IMF stats show a precipitous drop starting in 1994, whereas the graph shows a more steady decline from 1990. Thus the graph is not "entirely accurate" or at least contradicts the IMF stats, but the "overall picture" is something that can be used for the general point that killing off a lot of people is not a particularly effective way to reduce overpopulation.
by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Sat Jun 9th, 2007 at 06:02:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Did you just make that graph? Nice feat.
by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Sun Jun 10th, 2007 at 06:34:53 AM EST
[ Parent ]
It takes 6 lines of R code. I should post it on the wiki.

The most time-consuming part of it was to type innthe data as the tab-delimited file from the IMF was garbled.

Can the last politician to go out the revolving door please turn the lights off?

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sun Jun 10th, 2007 at 08:40:24 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Now added to the ET Wiki's R Sample Code page.

Can the last politician to go out the revolving door please turn the lights off?
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sun Jun 10th, 2007 at 05:00:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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