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Since coming to power, the US right-wing thas sought to export their brand of 'democracy' to other countries.

Other than invading Iraq, the US neo-cons sought to have Hussein overthrown by inciting the Iraq Shia.  (Before this current invasion)

So from the outset, no one will argue that the US has been one of the primary sources of instability in that region.

In addition, US leaders have made numerous inflammatory and very threatening remarks regarding Islam, Arabs and their existence.

Assuming that Bush is sane then his statements represents a clear threat to Middle East stability at least. If he is a mad man then it is worse. In either case to allow this regime to access a nuclear weapon is irresponsible and needs to be avoided at all costs.

Small varmints, if you will.

by Eric K on Mon Jul 23rd, 2007 at 05:27:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]
LOL

Welcome to ET.

Can the last politician to go out the revolving door please turn the lights off?

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Jul 23rd, 2007 at 05:29:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Thanks.  I've become a fan of Jerome's diaries at DKos and thought I'd come over here.

Too bad it is too late to stop the US neo-cons from getting their hands on nukes.  Hopefully the Dems will have a landslide win in 2008.

Small varmints, if you will.

by Eric K on Mon Jul 23rd, 2007 at 05:53:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]
What does this have to do with Iran and their threat to Israel?

By the way, if the U.S. was trying to incite the Iraq Shia, then why were they providing support to Hussein in his war against Iran?

When you say "from the outset" what is your time frame? Because the British and French were causing more instability in the region long before the Americans.

Again you did not address what i wrote about which has to do with Iran and their threats to the region - particularly Israel. Unless you regard them as legitimate threats.

by BJ Lange (langebj@gmail.com) on Mon Jul 23rd, 2007 at 05:57:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]
[i]What does this have to do with Iran and their threat to Israel?[/i]

The US is off-and-on threatening military action against Iran.  The US is Israel's main ally.  The US has a large portion of its armed forces right next to Iran right now.  How can the US's disposition not have everything to do with it?

[i]By the way, if the U.S. was trying to incite the Iraq Shia, then why were they providing support to Hussein in his war against Iran?[/i]

I didn't say it made sense.  Neo-cons rarely do.  However, those were at different times. The US encouraged a Shia uprising in Southern Iraq once they decided Hussein was no longer useful.

[i]When you say "from the outset" what is your time frame? Because the British and French were causing more instability in the region long before the Americans.[/i]

Well, if that lets the US off the hook, it lets Iran off the hook too, eh?  I was just using your words. The point was that there is more than one destabilizing force in the Middle East and the US is the biggest one at the moment (what with that Iraq mess and all).

[i]Again you did not address what i wrote about which has to do with Iran and their threats to the region - particularly Israel. Unless you regard them as legitimate threats.[/i]

Iran is a threat to Israel.  Israel is a threat to Iran.  Israel isn't exactly a stabilizing force in the Middle East either.  

The point of my comment is that a US/Israel war on Iran isn't going to help matters, it will only make things worse (unless wiping all threats to Israel off the map is the goal I guess, although how that is morally suprerior to the 'wipe Israel off the map' crap I don't know).

Small varmints, if you will.

by Eric K on Mon Jul 23rd, 2007 at 06:11:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]
You should use either regular HTML <i> tags or underscores instead of [i].

Can the last politician to go out the revolving door please turn the lights off?
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Jul 23rd, 2007 at 06:13:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]
That'll learn me to post without previewing first.

But anyway, I'm glad I'm not the only one who remembers the Bush I era Shia uprising we (the US that is) encouraged at first then abandoned to a reprisal that wiped it out.  People seem to forget that.  

Not to mention the various times we've led the Kurds in Iraq down the primrose path then screwed them over (or at least stood back while they got screwed over).

Small varmints, if you will.

by Eric K on Mon Jul 23rd, 2007 at 06:19:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I don't know how to do that either.
by BJ Lange (langebj@gmail.com) on Mon Jul 23rd, 2007 at 07:01:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]
<em>like this</em>
<i>like this</i>
or
_like this_

like this
like this
or
like this

Can the last politician to go out the revolving door please turn the lights off?

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Jul 24th, 2007 at 05:17:22 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Great responses. "I didn't say it made sense" - that's the best :).

I personally do not think the Iran Mullahs are that crazy and did intentionally install Ahmadinajad to counter the rhetoric of opposing countries.

I am concerned about nuclear weapons in the hands of countries that are not totally stable which Iran is not. We can see that in Pakistan right now. If Musharraf's regimes falls some of the options places Europe and the U.S. in grave danger.

Regarding Iran, I think what is happening is lots of saber rattling on all sides which is fine as long as it results in a diplomatic solution as it appears to be in North Korea.

I do not see Israel electing Beten-yahoo anytime soon since the majority of Israelis are tired of war and want to be focused on peaceful coexistence with Palestineans and all other neighbors.

Iran is in much the same situation China was during the cold war until there were diplomatic understandings with most countries and trading agreements were worked out.

In Iraq the neo-cons are out. If you watch closely at what is happening Bush Sr. (the master diplomat) has become Bush Jr.'s top advisor which is why you see a sudden shift toward diplomacy on all fronts. Cheney no longer has the power he once had and he had it all.

This so-called surge plan was actually a way for Bush Jr. to paint his way out of a corner that he painted himself into. In September there will be a major shift in policy even if Bush Sr. has to give his son a "time-out."

by BJ Lange (langebj@gmail.com) on Mon Jul 23rd, 2007 at 07:17:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I hope you are right, with regards to Cheney's influence.  A Democrat big win in 2008, which seems likely at this point, will also of course help.

I'd say Pakistan is the bigger danger when it comes to unstable realms and nukes, seeing as Pakistan definately has nuclear missiles already.

However, Pakistan is a US ally in the so-called "War on Terror" (or whatever they are caling it today) and it is off the media radar in respect to its nuclear arsenal falling into even more extreme hands than it already is.  If I had to pick the most likley spot for a nulcear war, Pakistan Vs. India would be it.

Small varmints, if you will.

by Eric K on Mon Jul 23rd, 2007 at 08:00:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I am certain about Cheney as well as the influence of Bush Sr. Politics in DC should never be painted with a broad brush, it is usually sublties that make a difference. It is never stagnant, and it is best to reflect on what is taking place now in comparison to what took place six months ago or a year ago.

I always believed from that the neocons brought Bush Jr. to power but made sure Cheney was there to run things. Bush Sr. was never one of those neocons and was kept on the outside until the '06 election disaster. Bush Sr. and his allies like Jim Baker forced their way in and have pushed Cheney aside for all intents and purposes.

Regarding nuclear weapons, I don't see any difference between Pakistan and Iran. They are both highly volatile states with significant internal dissent which is a bad formula for for nuclear weapons.

by BJ Lange (langebj@gmail.com) on Mon Jul 23rd, 2007 at 09:19:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]
By the way, if the U.S. was trying to incite the Iraq Shia, then why were they providing support to Hussein in his war against Iran?

We're talking about the Shia uprising of 1991, which was encouraged by the US in the aftermath of the liberation of Kuwait by Bush the 1st, but then US then figured they preferred Hussein in power to a Shia regime and let Saddam brutally suppress the uprising.

Which, apparently, goes a long way towards explaining why the Iraqi Shia don't much like the US, even if they removed Saddam.

Can the last politician to go out the revolving door please turn the lights off?

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Jul 23rd, 2007 at 06:11:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Point taken. It also points out the ever changing ebbs and flows of this Muslim region and simplistic solutions like bringing Jeffersonian democracy to any of these countries is plain ignorant.
by BJ Lange (langebj@gmail.com) on Mon Jul 23rd, 2007 at 07:20:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Jeffersonian democracy in the US would be no bad thing, though.....

"Any economic unit can emit money. The serious problem is to get it accepted" Hyman Minsky
by ChrisCook (cojockathotmaildotcom) on Mon Jul 23rd, 2007 at 07:54:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Actually, Iran's system is a pretty good example of "Islamic democracy". if you remove the closed loop of power. But I suspect that only works when you have a more culturally homogeneous country than Iraq.

Do you think Lebanon's sectarian system is an acceptable democratic arrangement? It might be the only way to get disparate communities to share a single state. It worked pretty well until the Israel/Palestine conflict spilled over.

Northern Ireland's political system is also sectarian in ways that make me very uncomfortable and lead to political gridlock, but again it may be a necessity.

And then there's the Low Countries' now obsolete pillarisation.

So, yes, why export Jeffersonian Democracy? The principle of self-rule and self-determination is an entirely different beast.

Can the last politician to go out the revolving door please turn the lights off?

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Jul 24th, 2007 at 05:23:13 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Dear BJ Lange,

I hope that the following addresses the concern that you have that your points are not being systematically addressed.

Please read the article in the following link completely and objectively. You might be surprised about what you know.

Does Iran's President Want Israel Wiped Off The Map - Does He Deny The Holocaust?

Next, check this site for the known unknowns about Israel's nukes.

Strategic Israel-The Arsenal of an Undeclared Nuclear Power

Then search the net for quotes from Israeli leaders over the last 7 decades concerning the rights of Palestinians on what Israel regards as its land. Here is one of David's, but you can search for some of Golda's that are just as reprehensible, or Ariel's or even Yitshak's.

"We must use terror, assassination, intimidation, land confiscation, and the cutting of all social services to rid the Galilee of its Arab population." David Ben-Gurion, May 1948, to the General Staff. From Ben-Gurion, A Biography, by Michael Ben-Zohar, Delacorte, New York 1978.

Never underestimate their intelligence, always underestimate their knowledge.

Frank Delaney ~ Ireland

by siegestate (siegestate or beyondwarispeace.com) on Tue Jul 24th, 2007 at 06:02:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I am not surprised. Ahmadinajd is a master in the use of language but it should never be mistaken what his intent is. It is clear and based on the totality of his words and actions. He led a movement to deny the very existence of the holocaust and he does want to get rid of Israel as many other Arab leaders have had as their goal. Fortunately it is primarily rants because they do not possess the capability to do it and never will.

Regarding your last statement. You quoted a highly disputed quote allegedly made by Ben Gurion. I am sure that you can go to anti-Jewish websites and find more alleged quotes from other Israeli leaders that are either taken out of context or just fabricated.

There is a longer history of Jews in the Middle East before Israel including earlier in the 20th century.

by BJ Lange (langebj@gmail.com) on Tue Jul 24th, 2007 at 08:00:33 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Do you mean that you believe his words when they suit what you believe and dismiss them when they don't?
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Tue Jul 24th, 2007 at 08:07:47 AM EST
[ Parent ]
If you are speaking about current world leaders, I take seriously what a world leader says and look carefully at the context in which they are saying it.

But if you are speaking about former Jewish leaders and alleged quotes or misquotes I would be very careful about their characterization.

by BJ Lange (langebj@gmail.com) on Tue Jul 24th, 2007 at 08:15:44 AM EST
[ Parent ]
And not those of Muslim leaders against whom there is a pretty clear propaganda campaign?
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Tue Jul 24th, 2007 at 08:20:45 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Specifically? Sorry, not sure what you are speaking about.
by BJ Lange (langebj@gmail.com) on Tue Jul 24th, 2007 at 10:08:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]
You seem to be concerned that Jewish leaders may have their words twisted or taken out of context but seem to think that doesn't happen to Iranian leaders.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Tue Jul 24th, 2007 at 10:11:32 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I wish it were true. How are Ahmadinejad's word taken out of context? Because there was hardly a country not up in arms over his statements. The intent of his remarks can be questioned and debated.
by BJ Lange (langebj@gmail.com) on Tue Jul 24th, 2007 at 10:39:33 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Read Juan Cole's interpretations. He seems to think that the spin put on them doesn't fit the meaning in Farsi.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Tue Jul 24th, 2007 at 10:42:52 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Will do. Do you ahve a link?
by BJ Lange (langebj@gmail.com) on Tue Jul 24th, 2007 at 11:59:49 AM EST
[ Parent ]
This article has a wealth of links, to Juan Cole and others.
Now, if we can attract more attention to the substantive dispute of the Cole-Hitchens fight, we will also call attention to the fact that translations are tricky business. And those with political agendas can selectively choose translations to obscure the big picture and manipulate the media.
The original Juan Cole post (apparently including a link to the Farsi transcript of the original Khomeini speech) is this (May 2006):
The precise reason for Hitchens' theft and publication of my private mail is that I object to the characterization of Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad as having "threatened to wipe Israel off the map." I object to this translation of what he said on two grounds. First, it gives the impression that he wants to play Hitler to Israel's Poland, mobilizing an armored corps to move in and kill people.

But the actual quote, which comes from an old speech of Khomeini, does not imply military action, or killing anyone at all. The second reason is that it is just an inexact translation. The phrase is almost metaphysical. He quoted Khomeini that "the occupation regime over Jerusalem should vanish from the page of time." It is in fact probably a reference to some phrase in a medieval Persian poem. It is not about tanks.

This was followed by this  (May 2006) and this (June 2007).

Can the last politician to go out the revolving door please turn the lights off?
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Jul 24th, 2007 at 12:15:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I may have missed a few boats here (apologies if I have), but hasn't one of the millions of iranians who can speak and write english given us a more-or-less definitive answer to this issue yet?

Don't fight forces, use them R. Buckminster Fuller.
by rg (leopold dot lepster at google mail dot com) on Tue Jul 24th, 2007 at 12:26:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Indeed:
It is a shame that nobody had pointed this out before Juan Cole. Cole's translation of the persian passage is indeed much closer to the target. I re-red the persian and Cole is right.

It is still a threat, don't get me wrong. There is a quasi-hegelian ring to the original, as something that will occur as history unfolds. Not a nice thing to say (or hope for) but not as awful as the bad English translation made it sound.

by STA (sta.blog@gmail.com) on Tue May 9th, 2006 at 07:45:25 PM BST

 

Can the last politician to go out the revolving door please turn the lights off?
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Jul 24th, 2007 at 12:31:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Sounds similar to Khrushtchev's "We will bury you"...

Also, why doesn't anyone points to the fact that the Iranian president would hardly be the one with the finger on the big red nuclear switch if Iran got the bomb ? The President currently hardly is the most powerful person in Iran...

Un roi sans divertissement est un homme plein de misères

by linca (antonin POINT lucas AROBASE gmail.com) on Tue Jul 24th, 2007 at 01:58:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]
"the Iranian president would hardly be the one with the finger on the big red nuclear switch"

That is right. He is more or less a figure head and mouthpiece for the mullahs.

Apparently Ahmadinejad did not say Israel will be wiped off the map and Khrushchev did say "We will bury you . . ." Neither leader had enough internal support to do much damage. All part of the purpose of the U.N. so that countries could say what they want as long as they did not toss missiles.

by BJ Lange (langebj@gmail.com) on Tue Jul 24th, 2007 at 02:08:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]
"We will bury you" being an idiomatic expression in French as well as in Russian, it means "we will survive longer" rather than implying any active participation in a violent process leading to the burial... Very similar.

Un roi sans divertissement est un homme plein de misères
by linca (antonin POINT lucas AROBASE gmail.com) on Tue Jul 24th, 2007 at 04:46:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Interesting. I guess it didn't quite work out for Khrushchev and the Party. Of course he was slamming his shoe on the table for emphasis so you knew he trying to be threatening.
by BJ Lange (langebj@gmail.com) on Tue Jul 24th, 2007 at 05:19:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]
That was apparently a cultural misunderstanding as well.  I forget  the precise story, and I'm meant to be asleep ...
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Tue Jul 24th, 2007 at 05:44:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Sounds similar to Khrushtchev's "We will bury you"...

You have missed the point entirely.

The US installed a puppet government in Iran in 1953. It was this government that Khomeini was referring to...it was there, and it was gone. Iran didn't get wiped off the map. The regime was replaced.

And this is exactly what he predicts will happen with the regime in Jerusalem. Not that Israel will get wiped off the map, (there is no such slang term used in the language) but that there will be a regime change in Jerusalem.

I am getting the impression that the problems of the world are greatly exacerbated by people's expectations that they should be able to read every person's statements with the dictionary of a certain mental midget sitting in the White House.

Did anyone take "This is not a game" as a sig line yet?

Never underestimate their intelligence, always underestimate their knowledge.

Frank Delaney ~ Ireland

by siegestate (siegestate or beyondwarispeace.com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2007 at 06:43:50 AM EST
[ Parent ]
It is similar in that a quote was -perhaps wilfully - misunderstood to imply threat of direct aggression where there wasn't any. I miss the point of how I have missed the point.

Un roi sans divertissement est un homme plein de misères
by linca (antonin POINT lucas AROBASE gmail.com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2007 at 10:55:18 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Then I ask permission to be humbled by your excellent response.

Never underestimate their intelligence, always underestimate their knowledge.

Frank Delaney ~ Ireland

by siegestate (siegestate or beyondwarispeace.com) on Mon Jul 30th, 2007 at 03:42:11 AM EST
[ Parent ]
This makes sense. I am with Cole that I don't like the guy and would still not trust him with a nuclear weapon (but that would also include everyone).

I understand the intent of his message which is consistent with the political dialogue surrounding the Israeli-Palestinean issue.

I am of the belief that Ahmadinejad's very existence is a direct result of Bush's unilateral classification of Iran as an enemy soon after 9/11. He is serving a purpose for Iran which is to counter the rhetoric being thrown against it.

This started with the question of whether Iran represented a threat to the region. Of course they do but not any more than other of the Middle East countries. The central element of instability is Iraq and if a negotiated security agreement between certain countries can be worked out then it will serve to defuse most tensions.

The issue that still remains is nuclear weapons in Iran which the government has yet to admit to their development but is certainly progressing toward that. For what purpose would they need it?

by BJ Lange (langebj@gmail.com) on Tue Jul 24th, 2007 at 12:39:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I am of the belief that Ahmadinejad's very existence is a direct result of Bush's unilateral classification of Iran as an enemy soon after 9/11. He is serving a purpose for Iran which is to counter the rhetoric being thrown against it.

leaving aside the idiotic "axis of evil" speech, and since I've started quoting STA, let's do it again:

The U. S. position is unclear, perhaps because of an internal struggle within the Bush administration between those who advocate trying to reach an accommodation with Iran led by Secretary of State Rice and the hawks led by Dick Cheney.
Let me make a point that I cannot emphasize enough. The Iranian position is no more clear.

What is missing from most articles about Iran is the general fracture that exists in the country. This is new; it is a first in modern Iran. As a country, it has usually had a real unity.

The Iranian regime is no longer regimented! It is fractured for the first time in modern Iranian history. The difference between Afghanistan and Iran, or at least one of the differences, used to be that no governing body in Afghanistan could hold the country together. Hence warlords.

In Iran, however poorly managed, the government in place -- Shah's or the current retards -- had a discernible political line.

The infightings and backstabbings are pushing Iran into a new territory. I am not even talking about conservative vs. moderates [sic]. Even the conservatives can't agree on practically anything. Ahmadinejad is in place because they cannot deal with each other.

The war talk helps create a semblance of unity where there is none. An attack against Iran would create unity, among the rulers, but perhaps even among the people.

by STA (sta.blog@gmail.com) on Wed May 17th, 2006 at 04:39:18 PM BST



Can the last politician to go out the revolving door please turn the lights off?
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Jul 24th, 2007 at 12:48:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I am aware of the fracture and even Ahmadinejad's election was questionable. But I cannot see Iran becoming secular as it once was nor do they appear to be stagnating as an authoritarian theocracy. One would hope that as negotiations , under the excuse of iraq security, goes on it results in some common understandings and coexistence. China certainly developed over time along that path and one could see Iran doing the same. One can only hope.
by BJ Lange (langebj@gmail.com) on Tue Jul 24th, 2007 at 01:56:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The threats to Israel are less clear than is indicated by the mainstream accounts. The translations are contested and are in the context of pandering to populist voters.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Tue Jul 24th, 2007 at 06:10:53 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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