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What happened in May 2005?

Can the last politician to go out the revolving door please turn the lights off?
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Jul 30th, 2007 at 09:32:40 AM EST
A strong dip in oil prices.

Vencit omnia veritas.
by Luis de Sousa (luis[dot]a[dot]de[dot]sousa[at]gmail[dot]com) on Mon Jul 30th, 2007 at 09:41:29 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Why/How would that cause gold and the dollar to decouple from the other major world currencies?

Can the last politician to go out the revolving door please turn the lights off?
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Jul 30th, 2007 at 09:43:48 AM EST
[ Parent ]
My reading is that they decoupled more clearly in August and not in May. The dollar took an ease from the secular downward trend by then, helped by the last wave of rate hikes.

As for the gold I really don't have an explanation. Somehow investors understood by then that gold was on a secular bull without end in sight.

Some people claim that gold is still manipulated by central banks that avoid strong appreciations by dumping reserves on the market. I can't say how true these concerns are, but gold surely evolves in a different way than other metals. The fact that gold has depreciated so much in latest months (against crude oil) is by itself a riddle to me.

Vencit omnia veritas.

by Luis de Sousa (luis[dot]a[dot]de[dot]sousa[at]gmail[dot]com) on Mon Jul 30th, 2007 at 10:08:43 AM EST
[ Parent ]
My reading is that they decoupled more clearly in August and not in May.

I said May because amazingly all the curves converge to a point (to within visual accuracy) at that time. Somehow the indices get pinched and then they start diverging.

Can the last politician to go out the revolving door please turn the lights off?

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Jul 30th, 2007 at 10:17:10 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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