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Why no one should care for what Neo-Malthusians say: One problem is that the Neo-Malthusians tend in general to be a**holes who parrot the constant refrain 'population is the problem', when this cannot possibly be true when (e.g.) 5% of the world's population consume 25% of the world's resources (extend to include Europe, Japan and Australia). Malthus is about population versus food supply growth, but modern problems are about a small percentage of industrial peoples screwing up an already deeply f*cked world at the expense of everyone else. (In turn, this is not a matter of individual choice, but a systemic problem originating in the nature of capitalism.) It's bad enough that the rest of the poor bastards have to deal with quasi-feudal conditions, without having to factor in climate change and sea level rise as well.

You yourself point this out when you mention that populations such as China's were stable for generations.

It isnt't about population. F*ck Malthus. It's about a small percentage of brainwashed, ball-less f*cks (that's us) lying down and taking it all in return for a few consumer goods ... in return for the destruction of the Earth. And it is personal, for those of us who have children, for they are the ones who will face the consequences. Want a definition of cowardice? Ask your contemporaries to look in the mirror. (Ask me to look in the mirror ... I have children.)

If you think this is an exaggeration, look at what Wat Tyler and 200K peasants did in the absence not only of the Internet, but a modern postal system. And they only failed because they were such trusting and fundamentally honourable saps. We should all cry for shame.

by wing26 on Mon Aug 27th, 2007 at 10:01:36 AM EST
Interesting that you should mention Wat Tyler, because I think the 14th century might teach us some things about the 21st.

It appears that at the beginning of the 14th century Europe was overpopulated (i.e., overconsuming). The collapse after the overshoot came in the form of (mainly, but not only) the Black Death, which wiped out a substantial fraction of the population.

Economically, what happened after the Black Death (at least in England) was that a smaller amount of peasants were available to work the land for the nobles and pay taxes to the King. The powerful did all in their power to contain wage increases resulting from shortage of labour. Apparently (in modern terms) the GDP dropped but the GDP per capita increased. A couple of decades after the Black Death fewer people were living in better conditions than a couple of decades before it.

But the State still had essentially the same expenses as before. The subjects might have been decimated but there was still one Kingdom and one King with the same need for revenue (to finance, for instance, the 100 Years' War). So Richard II levied three poll taxes in the 1370's, each more... er... taxing (no pun intended) than the previous one.

So if our global economy does collapse this century (it has been argued it's already overshot as it exceeded sustainable consumption in the 1980's) we might see that the powerful will find ways of extracting the same aggregate level of resources from te powerless to allow their activities to continue at the same pace as before, but with fewer people to "tax" something will have to give.

Can the last politician to go out the revolving door please turn the lights off?

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Aug 27th, 2007 at 10:17:51 AM EST
[ Parent ]
A couple of decades after the Black Death fewer people were living in better conditions than a couple of decades before it.

Um, that was confusingly worded. What I mean to say is that a couple of decades after the Black Death living conditions had improved for individual peasants but there were fewer of them.

Can the last politician to go out the revolving door please turn the lights off?

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Aug 27th, 2007 at 01:18:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]
As I remember it, in the end in western europe the peasants were able to get a better deal then before as they used their bargaining power versus local landlords. Moved to less demanding landlords estates and such.

In eastern europe the peasants got a worse deal after the Black Death. Similar conditions as in the west, but here the nobility succeeded in enforcing a harsher serfdom, tying the peasants to the land and denying them the freedom to move about. Thus robbing them of their negotiating power.

Changing the material base of the society changes the society, but in what direction depends on what people do about it. And I have a nagging feeling that todays version of nobility is already acting.

A vote for PES is a vote for EPP! A vote for EPP is a vote for PES! Support the coalition, vote EPP-PES in 2009!

by A swedish kind of death on Mon Aug 27th, 2007 at 06:30:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]
It  seems relevant to mention that the harsher treatment of  the peasants in Eastern Europe would ultimately come to a bad end. When the serfs were finally freed in Russia (around 1861, I believe)they numbered around 20 million and in no small way factored into the revolts and ulitmately the 1917 revolution. Apparently, they still resented paying redemption payments to the state, and demanded communal tender of the land they worked. Of course, that was only one of a multitude of causes for revolution, but, given how rapidly the US is disintergrating--without pensions, limited healthcare, limited education and an increasing scarcity of well paying jobs, I wonder how long it will be before we start seeing frequent riots in the cities --that aren't just 'race' riots.
by delicatemonster (delicatemons@delicatemonster.com) on Tue Aug 28th, 2007 at 12:59:59 AM EST
[ Parent ]
It isnt't about population. F*ck Malthus.

What you say is partially correct.  Over use of resources by industrialized countries, etc.  But, China is overpopulated relative to domestic resources and recognizes the fact.  In short too much productive "F*cking. Eventually, we may all be accused of the same thing.

I can swear there ain't no heaven but I pray there ain't no hell. _ Blood Sweat & Tears

by Gringo (stargazing camel at aoldotcom) on Mon Aug 27th, 2007 at 01:03:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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