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It's like a bad marriage where the parties want to divorce but their only asset is a $2 million house but nobody's buying houses right now. So they're stuck with each other for a while longer.

Hey, Grandma Moses started late!
by LEP (rafifoon@yahoo.com) on Wed Aug 8th, 2007 at 10:39:52 AM EST
[ Parent ]
This no-panic game is like a case of Prisoner's Dilemma: If we don't panic things will go probably well, if we all panic we all loose immediately. But if you panic and I don't, I loose everything and you are a beneficiary in hard times.

Usually, cooperation in Prisoner's Dilemma (PD) is regarded as problematic or paradoxical. Cooperation is explainable in the iterative version of PD,  in the form of reputation building, and nice, retaliatory and forgiving strategies. But even then respect for selfish defection is in the air.

But in the financial market situation, cooperation seems to be prevailing - market participants wish to cooperate as long as possible. "Cooperation" is based on something different than usual iteration - is it a wonder of so wide manipulation, or we still have to learn PD better? It seems that market failure is clearly unacceptable to anyone, so people try to hold on to hopes. That may explain why it is difficult to time financial collapses in advance.

by das monde on Thu Aug 9th, 2007 at 05:27:28 AM EST
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