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oil prices are driven by endogenous (to us) factors - persistently strong demand growth in emerging and oil producing countries (China, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Russia and India), and constrained global supply (declining Mexico and North Sea, struggling Russia and Saudi Arabia)

That would be exogenous, or my brain is turning to goo.

Oye, vatos, dees English sink todos mi ships, chinga sus madres, so escuche: el fleet es ahora refloated, OK? — The War Nerd

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Sep 12th, 2007 at 06:48:30 PM EST
This one I need to correct! Thanks.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Wed Sep 12th, 2007 at 07:00:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Think of it this way, the price of oil is being driven by   (nearly) purely endogenous factors, i.e.  consumption.  I think that what Jerome is trying to say is that the ability of OPEC to engage in price readjustments by upping production is no longer (as) effective.  

So this issue is consumption (endogenous) rather than supply (exogenous), that meaning that any effort to affect the price of oil must be directed towards limiting consumption.

This seems to assume that further untapped oil doesn't exist.  

Deep sea Artic oil probably isn't recoverable at $80/barrel.  But $200/barrel (or priced higher in a more stable currency?)

See this whole global warming thing works out well.  

1)Burning oil makes ice melt.

2) Ice melting makes more oil available for burning.

Rinse and repeat.

And if Reagan's EPA director is to be believed when we run out, God comes back.

Why do you environmentalists want to make us all wait forever for God to come back?

And I'll give my consent to any government that does not deny a man a living wage-Billy Bragg

by ManfromMiddletown (manfrommiddletown at lycos dot com) on Wed Sep 12th, 2007 at 07:01:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]
... and the fact that US consumption can drop dramatically without resulting in a similar drop in global oil demand is one of the things that we yanks are so unaccustomed to.


I've been accused of being a Marxist, yet while Harpo's my favourite, it's Groucho I'm always quoting. Odd, that.
by BruceMcF (agila61 at netscape dot net) on Thu Sep 13th, 2007 at 07:41:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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