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Actually I think it makes a big difference whether you are selling covered or naked options.

With covered options if the option gets exercised you have only an opportunity cost. For example the option is at $10 the stock goes to $15 and is exercised. You get the $10 and the option premium (say $2). So you end up with $12. If you had just held the underlying stock you could have sold it for $15 yourself, thus a $3 opportunity cost. Big sellers deal on a statistical basis, just like insurance companies, so this should all be allowed for in the cost of the option itself.

Naked options are another matter. In this case you can lose more than you invested. This isn't investing it's gambling.

Policies not Politics
---- Daily Landscape

by rdf (robert.feinman@gmail.com) on Mon Sep 10th, 2007 at 10:02:41 AM EST
[ Parent ]
covered options are low risk. It's the only derivative I'll use with my own money.  But I thought you were talking about energy markets.  Not many individuals have oil in hand to write options against.

Gambling is not the right term.  Speculating is better IMO.

by HiD on Mon Sep 10th, 2007 at 07:18:26 PM EST
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