I am happy with my method though. Given my lack of knowledge in yearly price fluctuations and such, taking an outlier position was a reasonable strategy. If the price had missed the band of predictions I had a 50% chance of winning a bottle of champagne. I recommend keeping a keen eye of the interests of the predictor. A vote for PES is a vote for EPP! A vote for EPP is a vote for PES! Support the coalition, vote EPP-PES in 2009!