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IIRC, in 2004 exit pollsters updated their exit polls to confirm with counted votes.

So yes, checking raw exit poll - counted votes precinct for precinct would be the way to go.

by A swedish kind of death on Fri Jan 11th, 2008 at 09:14:43 AM EST
[ Parent ]
IIRC, in 2004 exit pollsters updated their exit polls to confirm with counted votes.

I hadn't thought about that.

Still, we have two conflicting exit polls from MSNBC and CNN.

I don't think it's going to make a difference, because I suspect CNN was right.  It's a bit weird to me that the percentages came in as exact -- down to the one-hundredth of a point -- opposite in Diebold vs Hand-Count precincts.

One way or another, Kucinich deserves a thank you for standing up on principle.  Confidence in the integrity of the vote matters.

WHEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!

by Drew J Jones (blahblahblah@blahblahblah.com) on Fri Jan 11th, 2008 at 10:19:28 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Kos also deserves to be smacked for pulling his "Call for a recount and I'll ban you" stuff again.  Prior to the exit poll from CNN, it was perfectly reasonable to be suspicious.

WHEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!
by Drew J Jones (blahblahblah@blahblahblah.com) on Fri Jan 11th, 2008 at 10:21:51 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Kos is an ass.

We have met the enemy, and he is us — Pogo
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Fri Jan 11th, 2008 at 10:32:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Yes, he is.  He's going to have a lot of egg on his face, too, if Kucinich's recount goes through and they find something.  That would be interesting.

WHEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!
by Drew J Jones (blahblahblah@blahblahblah.com) on Fri Jan 11th, 2008 at 11:47:01 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Actually, the coincidence on the percentages is even greater:

Optical Scan
Clinton 91,717 52.9507%
Obama 81,495 47.0493%
Total 173,212

Hand Counted
Clinton 20,889 47.0494%
Obama 23,509 52.9506%
Total 44,398

WHEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!

by Drew J Jones (blahblahblah@blahblahblah.com) on Fri Jan 11th, 2008 at 10:24:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]
It is almost as if the US takes a recount as an insult.

We are for Justice and Mercy, and Truth and Peace, and true Freedom. Edward Burroughs 1659
by edwin on Fri Jan 11th, 2008 at 10:55:29 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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