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Can you imagine the strategic discussions at high levels of Moody's and S&P's?  They are truly caught between a rock and a vice; damned if they do, damned if they don't.  Can anyone play this scenario out?

"Life shrinks or expands in proportion to one's courage." - Anaïs Nin
by Crazy Horse on Mon Jan 21st, 2008 at 09:54:13 AM EST
Under any objective criteria, it seems that several of the monolines need to be downgraded. That this hasn't been done yet is a testimony to the incredible pressure and lobbying that must be applied so that this doesn't happen.

I'd imagine that the managers of S&P and Moody's are looking for waivers of liability in exchange for maintaining (undeserved) optimistic ratings. But, even if the clean up is orderly, their reputations of independence and impartiality will be damaged by such an episode.

I haver no idea how this will play out, but the whole ratings industry will come out of this crisis completely different to what it was before - and so will the investment world.

Fascinating times...

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Mon Jan 21st, 2008 at 10:00:48 AM EST
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