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Benn thinking about that, actually.

But if there's one thing in this that hasn't been obvious to me, it's what will happen to USD.

Freiheit ist immer Freiheit der Andersdenkenden

by redstar on Tue Jan 22nd, 2008 at 09:15:57 AM EST
[ Parent ]
If the US lowers rates it makes it that much less attractive for the rest of the world to keep using their excess dollars to buy T Bills etc.

Also, expect other Gulf states to follow Kuwait out of the Dollar peg soon.

Which won't help the dollar any.

The USD has a lot further to go, and will undoubtedly be oversold in the process, to be dragged back if and when the US can correct the trade balance.....

by ChrisCook (cojockathotmaildotcom) on Tue Jan 22nd, 2008 at 09:20:32 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I know, I know, but rationality hasn't really followed events here so far. A rate cut could potentially in the short term at least cause a bit more bad money to chase good in the US.

What you say is of course true, and it will fall. It's just a matter of when, and timing a fall is hard to do, and potentially more expensive than I can afford...

Freiheit ist immer Freiheit der Andersdenkenden

by redstar on Tue Jan 22nd, 2008 at 10:04:35 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Also, while true the USD must fall, it is less obvious that it wil fall by much to the Euro.

Freiheit ist immer Freiheit der Andersdenkenden
by redstar on Tue Jan 22nd, 2008 at 10:05:10 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Good point.

Currencies backed by oil are not a bad option to have a deposit in: Norway and the Gulf States come to mind - even (whisper it not) the Rouble.

by ChrisCook (cojockathotmaildotcom) on Tue Jan 22nd, 2008 at 10:24:06 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Why not just buy gold... or even better silver, I wouldn't rule out a silver standard in the future, would make sense imho
by acrowe on Tue Jan 22nd, 2008 at 05:18:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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