Islam. Qui vit sans folie n'est pas si sage qu'il croit.
It isn't a pretty picture. Qui vit sans folie n'est pas si sage qu'il croit.
By 2050 the ratio of Europe's working age to senior age population will decrease by 50%, two workers instead of four for every retiree.
That's only 33% of only adults.
Of course, this whole demographics game you bought into is silly, because it ignores the shifts also affecting other populations with no income: workers have supported lots more children and jobless and housewifes in the past than the increased number of retirees in the future... *Traitor*, n. A benighted individual who perceives an illusory distinction between serving his nation and abetting the criminals who govern it.
And it's a little weird that you're celebrating the fact that the remaining European workers in 2050 will be able to support so many more old people because they have so few children to support.
Giuseppe Carone and Declan Costello of the International Monetary Fund projected in September 2006 that the ratio of retirees to workers in Europe will double to 54% by 2050 from four workers to two workers for every retiree.[1] William H. Frey, an analyst for the Brookings Institution think tank, predicts the median age in Europe will increase from 37.7 years old in 2003 to 52.3 years old by 2050 while the median age of Americans will rise to only 35.4 years old. The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development estimates only 39% of Europeans between the ages of 55 to 65 work. If Frey's prediction for Europe's declining median age is correct, productivity in Europe will radically decrease over the next four decades.[2] Austria's Social Affairs Minister painted a bleaker picture in 2006, saying the 55 to 64 year old age bracket in the European Union will be larger than the 15 to 24 year old bracket by 2010. The Economic Policy Committee and the European Commission issued a report in 2006 estimating the working age population in the EU will decrease by 48 million, 16%, between 2010 and 2050, while the elderly population will increase by 58 million, 77%.
Anyway, your correction is about half right, and it still isn't a pretty picture. Qui vit sans folie n'est pas si sage qu'il croit.
Why? Are you one of those who never understood this joke: "Eat shit! A hundred billion flies can't be wrong!"
You seem to think that a predicted decrease in 'working-age population' means a decrease in the share of them in the total population -- but that leaves out potential decrease in the overall population, immigration, and change in retirement age from the picture. *Traitor*, n. A benighted individual who perceives an illusory distinction between serving his nation and abetting the criminals who govern it.
DoDo has a dispute with Doug about population, so he tells him to \"eat shit?\"
Who is this person, DoDo?
Is he typical of posters here?
Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens.
If you'd like to know what is typical of posters here, please feel free to stick around and read. There is no better way of finding an answer to your question.
In the meantime, let me correct a misapprehension no doubt due to the fact that English is your second language. DoDo above did not tell FPS Doug to eat shit. He asked him if he understood a joke about flies eating shit. I'm sure you'll agree that it's not the same thing!
:-) When locusts move on, they leave nothing behind
He doesn't understand troll ratings yet, but I'm sure he will. When locusts move on, they leave nothing behind
Personally I have no problem with the Islamification, infertility, and graying out of Europe (average age 52 in 2050). The American dollar is so low that I can't afford to travel anywhere except Mexico, where the (slightly more distant) future of North America is visible in shanty-towns from Juarez to Puerto Escondido. Qui vit sans folie n'est pas si sage qu'il croit.
I studied in Pakistan in the late '80's. Guess what - in Peshawar, where I was, they're not brown either.
But you should watch your language. Surely you must be aware of your "islamification" rhetoric is straight out of Horowitz and has no place in any serious discourse on Europe.
And is, 9 times out of 10, at root racist. "C'est un scandale !"
I met a guy last week who teases his arch-conservative friends by saying "Hey, amigo, you're in America now--so speak Spanish!"
As to depopulation, here's the latest INSEE population update, as of end 2007:
En 2007, 783 500 naissances ont été enregistrées en France métropolitaine et 33 000 dans les départements d'outre-mer (tableau 1). Malgré un repli par rapport à l'année 2006, le nombre des naissances demeure supérieur à celui des 25 dernières années. En 2007, l'indicateur conjoncturel de fécondité s'établit à 198 enfants pour 100 femmes, en légère diminution par rapport à 2006 (tableau 3). Mais il reste très supérieur à son niveau des années quatre-vingt dix. (...) Les femmes qui ont achevé leur vie féconde ont eu en moyenne plus de 2 enfants. La descendance finale s'établit en 2007 à 2,14 enfants par femme pour celles nées en 1957. À 35 ans, ces femmes avaient déjà eu 1,95 enfant. Pour les femmes nées dix ans plus tard, en 1967, ce nombre moyen d'enfants n'est atteint qu'à 40 ans (1,74 enfant à 35 ans). Aujourd'hui, les femmes de 35 ans (nées en 1972) ont eu en moyenne 1,68 enfant. Malgré leur retard par rapport aux générations antérieures, elles devraient atteindre deux enfants par femme au terme de leur vie féconde.
(...)
Les femmes qui ont achevé leur vie féconde ont eu en moyenne plus de 2 enfants. La descendance finale s'établit en 2007 à 2,14 enfants par femme pour celles nées en 1957. À 35 ans, ces femmes avaient déjà eu 1,95 enfant. Pour les femmes nées dix ans plus tard, en 1967, ce nombre moyen d'enfants n'est atteint qu'à 40 ans (1,74 enfant à 35 ans). Aujourd'hui, les femmes de 35 ans (nées en 1972) ont eu en moyenne 1,68 enfant. Malgré leur retard par rapport aux générations antérieures, elles devraient atteindre deux enfants par femme au terme de leur vie féconde.
