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Hessen,

ZDF 18:42 CET:
CDU  36.3% (-12.5)
SPD  37.1% (+8.0)
FDP   9.1% (+1.2)
Greens 8.0% (-3.1)
Leftists 4.9%

ARD/HR 18:45 CET:
CDU  36.0% (-12.8)
SPD  37.2% (+8.1)
FDP   9.3% (+1.4)
Greens 8.0% (-2.1)
Leftists 4.9%

Turnout: predicted at 64.5% (-0.1)

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Sun Jan 27th, 2008 at 01:00:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Big changes in ZDF's 19:00 figures!

CDU  36.5% (-12.3), 42 seats
SPD  37.0% (+7.9), 42 seats
FDP   9.4% (+1.5), 11 seats
Greens 7.7% (-3.4), 9 seats
Leftists 5.0%, 6 seats

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Sun Jan 27th, 2008 at 01:17:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Now ARD's 19:25 projection shows the same change to the critical situation (i.e. my 2.D version most likely):

ARD/HR 18:45 CET:
CDU  36.2% (-12.6), 41 seats
SPD  37.1% (+8.0), 43 seats
FDP   9.4% (+1.5), 11 seats
Greens 7.8% (-2.3), 9 seats
Leftists 5.0%, 6 seats

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Sun Jan 27th, 2008 at 01:40:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]
ARD/HR 21:20:
CDU  36.6% (-12.2), 42 seats
SPD  36.9% (+7.8), 42 seats
FDP   9.4% (+1.5), 11 seats
Greens 7.5% (-2.6), 9 seats
Leftists 5.0%, 6 seats

Now official end results from the districts stream in. The large swings are across the board, in all election districts. Mini-parties: hardcore far-right party NPD got 1.5% in one district, but below 1% on average; the Pirates get a few tenths of a percent everywhere.

At ARD, you can watch Ypsilanti's victory speech from around 19h. She speaks a lovely Hessisch, lots of "Isch"-es and so on. Greatest cheers: when she declares that the success of this campaign will have results at federal level.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Sun Jan 27th, 2008 at 03:36:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]
This is encouraging news. For that horror-show Koch to get the boot, but above all by a woman from the real left -- in fact, it's the first good news in ages!

Arte News now has a slick young French anchor, and the tone has moved right. This evening he didn't look too pleased, and opened on the CDU victory in Lower Saxony without mentioning that it was the incumbent who won without surprise (it was as if Wulff had pulled off a real feat). He reported Hessen, but barely mentioned the defeat of Koch. Arte used to be more "neutral".

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Sun Jan 27th, 2008 at 04:34:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Only one election district (of 55) still not reporting.

But, fuck! ZDF's last projection, from 22:51, has CDU ahead by 36.8% to 36.7%... While ARD has them dead-even at 36.7%.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Sun Jan 27th, 2008 at 05:11:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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