Home
Booman Tribune
An Answer for Michelle Malkin
Deep Thought
The Gaza Strip Conflict Resolution
Blago Impeached
Demographic Changes Press GOP
Godfather Hit in Madrid
They Send Roses
Froggy Bottom Cafe
Open Thread
Something Stinks
Wide Stance Caves
Brownie Evacuated
Morning Senate Hearings
Gaza - Israel Denounced by Red Cross
Retrospective
New User? Welcome & Click!
Recent Comments
Diaries
Display:
Threaded
Minimal
Nested
Flat
Flat Unthreaded
Dynamic Threaded
Dynamic Minimal
State elections in Germany: can the left come back?
|
78
comments (78 topical, editorial, 0 hidden)
After the elections?
(
4.00 / 6
)
I won't be around during the day tomorrow, so I add this pre-analysis of theoretical possibilities with a nonzero chance now:
1.
The Left Party doesn't make it across the 5% limit. Then it can only be one block or another:
1.A
CDU+FDP has (narrow) majority: looking at polls, almost certain
1.B
SPD+Greens have (narrow) majority
2.
The Left Party makes it across the 5% limit. Then as Turambar writes, neither of the above two blocks have majority. Due to the intolerability of Koch, a government can only be assembled around the SPD.
2.A
SPD+Greens+Left Party: Ypsilanti declared it impossible, nor would the rest of SPD tolerate it, and methinks the Left Party realises it would be a death kiss for them
2.B
Traffic lights coalition (SPD[red]+FDP[yellow]+Greens): I don't think many social-liberals remained to sustain that, and the Hessen FDP recently declared they won't coalition with "this SPD"
2.C
Grand Coalition (SPD+CDU): is a possibility if the CDU gets rid of Koch. But Merkel recently declared no Grand Coalition in Hessen. Then agai, shafting voters on both sides, a Grand Coalition without
both
Koch and Ypsilanti is a possibility.
2.D
SPD+Greens minority government with Left Party support: not much more comfortable for all involved than 2.A, yet probably the most likely
2.E
new elections: who would want it?
*Traitor*, n.
A benighted individual who perceives an illusory distinction between serving his nation and abetting the criminals who govern it.
by
DoDo
on
Sat Jan 26th, 2008 at 03:23:30 PM EST
Re: After the elections?
(
4.00 / 3
)
1.2.C would be very unpleasant.
Andrea Ypsilanti's resilience to her believes must continue to have visibility.
by
findmeaDoorIntoSummer
on
Sun Jan 27th, 2008 at 06:17:17 AM EST
[
Parent
]
2.2.C
(
4.00 / 2
)
by
findmeaDoorIntoSummer
on
Sun Jan 27th, 2008 at 06:18:20 AM EST
[
Parent
]
State elections in Germany: can the left come back?
|
78
comments (78 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)
Display:
Threaded
Minimal
Nested
Flat
Flat Unthreaded
Dynamic Threaded
Dynamic Minimal
Menu
.
Home
.
About
.
Contact
.
New User Guide
.
FAQ
.
Search
.
Search (Google)
.
Archives (Wiki)
Art
,
Economics
,
Energy
,
Environment
,
EU Politics
,
Mech & Tech
,
By Country
Login
Username:
Password:
.
Make a new account
.
Reset password
Recommended Diaries
New Zealand and Australia photo blog (graphics heavy)
by
MillMan
- Jan 8
28
comments
The Economics of the Anglo Disease
by
ManfromMiddletown
- Jan 9
Early Friday Photography Blog No. 69
by
In Wales
- Jan 8
42
comments
Belated Prague Photoblog (graphics heavy)
by
In Wales
- Jan 7
26
comments
Sun Tzu on Gaza
by
gmoke
- Jan 7
15
comments
Gaza - Israel Denounced by Red Cross
by
shergald
- Jan 8
10
comments
Marginalia: China is Doomed.
by
MarketTrustee
- Jan 7
10
comments
First Real Signs of Trouble for Windpower
by
Crazy Horse
- Jan 7
50
comments
Recent Diaries
The Economics of the Anglo Disease
by
ManfromMiddletown
- Jan 9
A fragment on energy and economic growth
by
Metatone
- Jan 9
Nuclear Swords into Plowshares
by
rdf
- Jan 9
CodePink: Can a rose help a child in Gaza?
by
shergald
- Jan 9
LQD: UK State Bank
by
yacker
- Jan 8
5
comments
Early Friday Photography Blog No. 69
by
In Wales
- Jan 8
21
comments
Street riots in Norway over Israel v Gaza
by
Coug
- Jan 8
8
comments
Gaza - Israel Denounced by Red Cross
by
shergald
- Jan 8
10
comments
New Zealand and Australia photo blog (graphics heavy)
by
MillMan
- Jan 8
28
comments
Sun Tzu on Gaza
by
gmoke
- Jan 7
15
comments
Belated Prague Photoblog (graphics heavy)
by
In Wales
- Jan 7
13
comments
First Real Signs of Trouble for Windpower
by
Crazy Horse
- Jan 7
25
comments
Marginalia: China is Doomed.
by
MarketTrustee
- Jan 7
10
comments
On France 24
by
Jerome a Paris
- Jan 7
82
comments
My stimulation idea - paid volunteerism.
by
rdf
- Jan 7
13
comments
Would they let the UK into the Euro?
by
In Wales
- Jan 7
26
comments
SER-2 [01] Introduction
by
Luis de Sousa
- Jan 7
2
comments
Reilu Tappio: Whither the Finnish SDP?
by
NordicStorm
- Jan 6
5
comments
Red Arrow to Bologna
by
DoDo
- Jan 6
26
comments
Where do you get rail project cost numbers?
by
BruceMcF
- Jan 6
17
comments
More Diaries...
Debates
Campaigns
Occasional Series