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I think that the narrative coming out of Iowa on the Democratic side is going to be how Obama failed to meet expectations.

They opened the dorms at the University of Iowa for students who wanted to come back early to caucus.  Only two did.  That's pretty shocking.  My suspcion is that Obama simply fails to even be meet viability in many rural precints, and that Des Moines turns out hard for Edwards.  And that Edwards takes 40%+ of the delegates in  Iowa.  

I think that the weathers going to really reduce the number of Hillary voters, they're looking to older women voters. And right now its cold in most of Iowa. Well below freezing, and it's icy out.

And I'll give my consent to any government that does not deny a man a living wage-Billy Bragg

by ManfromMiddletown (manfrommiddletown at lycos dot com) on Thu Jan 3rd, 2008 at 03:18:07 AM EST
A good friend of mine works for the Edwards campaign in Iowa, in some of the rural counties, and says that out there their main competition is Biden and Richardson (whose support is understated in the polls). Edwards does quite well in rural Iowa and I expect that will combine with enough support for him from folks in the cities to give him the victory.

My prediction is Edwards, Obama, Clinton (but I wouldn't be surprised to see Obama place third).

And the world will live as one

by Montereyan (robert at calitics dot com) on Thu Jan 3rd, 2008 at 01:52:02 PM EST
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