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The way in which, if a presidential election doesn't result in a candidate with an absolute majority of electoral college votes, the election falls back on the Congress makes third parties unviable at the national level. Also the way the House and Senate majorities work.

We have met the enemy, and he is us — Pogo
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jan 3rd, 2008 at 07:06:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]
In the US any third party able to elect members to Congress immediately would be "viable" in such a scenario.  I think all of these groups have an existing party-apparatus to build upon and existing geographic strongholds where they could elect sitting members of Congress, local councils and state assemblies/senates.

A few of them could easily win electoral votes in a Presidential election, thanks to our much-maligned but in my opinion geographically-sound and well thought-out electoral college system.  If a candidate fails to reach the majority # of electoral votes the election returns to Congress, which has decided US Presidential elections in the past.  At that moment your ability to form coalitions with other parties would become very important.

Most important culturally the existing "Democrat" and "Republican" type parties would essentially remain with less conflicted bases and would likely be relatively the two largest parties, preserving a significant amount of the existing political climate.  The key is that the incentive for say left wing Democrats to throw in their hat with them is reduced because the liklihood of a rightwinger getting elected is still about the same as it is today.  The difference is now their values are actually represented, potentially growing and there is an actual platform.

A Progressive/Green coalition party in the US, if able to steal the left wing of the Democratic party, would be very legitimately powerful immediately.  Consider that they would most likely have a couple sitting senators and a number of congressman from day one.

by paving on Thu Jan 3rd, 2008 at 07:29:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]
... in the later 1800's, which is home "fusion tickets" came to be outlawed in the first place. As Republicans argued at the time, they could beat the Democrats, and they could beat the Progressives, but if they were forced to run against both the Democrats and the Progressives at the same time, they might not beat them.


I've been accused of being a Marxist, yet while Harpo's my favourite, it's Groucho I'm always quoting. Odd, that.
by BruceMcF (agila61 at netscape dot net) on Thu Jan 3rd, 2008 at 07:30:33 PM EST
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