European Tribune - Comments - My Iowa Predictions

My Iowa Predictions | 292 comments (292 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)

via kos:

Senator John Edwards : 36.65%
Senator Hillary Clinton : 30.96%
Senator Barack Obama : 28.37%
Senator Joe Biden : 2.08%
Governor Bill Richardson : 1.29%
Senator Chris Dodd : 0.37%
Uncommitted : 0.28%
Precincts Reporting: 91 of 1781

Now flooding. Rural vote looking good for Edwards.

_{*Lunatic*, n.

One whose delusions are out of fashion.}

by DoDo on Thu Jan 3rd, 2008 at 08:31:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: My Iowa Predictions (none / 0)

apparently 50% are first time caucus goers, and a vast majority looking for change over experience (What exactly that means who knows)

Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.

by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Thu Jan 3rd, 2008 at 08:34:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: My Iowa Predictions (none / 0)

SENATOR JOHN EDWARDS : 33.38%
SENATOR HILLARY CLINTON : 32.40%
SENATOR BARACK OBAMA : 30.76%
GOVERNOR BILL RICHARDSON : 2.03%
SENATOR JOE BIDEN : 1.16%
SENATOR CHRIS DODD : 0.15%
UNCOMMITTED : 0.12%
PRECINCTS REPORTING: 191 OF 1781

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Thu Jan 3rd, 2008 at 08:38:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: My Iowa Predictions (none / 0)

You beat me by 23 seconds!

We have met the enemy, and he is us — Pogo

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jan 3rd, 2008 at 08:39:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: My Iowa Predictions (none / 0)

Ha! You beat me before! In the immortal words of Darrel Hammond playing Bill Clinont: Suck. On. It. :D

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Thu Jan 3rd, 2008 at 08:49:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: My Iowa Predictions (none / 0)

AP are reporting Heavy turnout could cause delays in results.

Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.

by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Thu Jan 3rd, 2008 at 08:43:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: My Iowa Predictions (none / 0)

How heavy? Any figures?

_{*Lunatic*, n.

One whose delusions are out of fashion.}

by DoDo on Thu Jan 3rd, 2008 at 08:44:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: My Iowa Predictions (none / 0)

some precincts are reporting 150% of expected numbers just saw on sky

Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.

by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Thu Jan 3rd, 2008 at 08:48:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: My Iowa Predictions (none / 0)

Des Moines anecdotes show turnout three to four times higher than 2004.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Thu Jan 3rd, 2008 at 08:50:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: My Iowa Predictions (none / 0)

Also, apparently the youngin's did show up for the first time...ever.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Thu Jan 3rd, 2008 at 08:51:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: My Iowa Predictions (none / 0)

Looks stable for a while. But if the larger city caucuses go Clinton or Obama...

Senator John Edwards : 33.90%
Senator Hillary Clinton : 32.00%
Senator Barack Obama : 31.28%
Governor Bill Richardson : 1.75%
Senator Joe Biden : 0.89%
Senator Chris Dodd : 0.10%
Uncommitted : 0.08%
Precincts Reporting: 258 of 1781

_{*Lunatic*, n.

One whose delusions are out of fashion.}

by DoDo on Thu Jan 3rd, 2008 at 08:42:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: My Iowa Predictions (none / 0)

At 25%, Obama overtakes Clinton:

Senator John Edwards : 32.62%
Senator Hillary Clinton : 32.30%
Senator Barack Obama : 32.30%
Governor Bill Richardson : 1.89%
Senator Joe Biden : 0.75%
Senator Chris Dodd : 0.11%
Uncommitted : 0.04%
Precincts Reporting: 461 of 1781

_{*Lunatic*, n.

One whose delusions are out of fashion.}

by DoDo on Thu Jan 3rd, 2008 at 08:51:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: My Iowa Predictions (none / 0)

Obama in the lead.

Senator Barack Obama : 32.70%
Senator John Edwards : 32.38%
Senator Hillary Clinton : 32.02%
Governor Bill Richardson : 1.79%
Senator Joe Biden : 0.96%
Senator Chris Dodd : 0.09%
Uncommitted : 0.06%
Precincts Reporting: 530 of 1781

_{*Lunatic*, n.

One whose delusions are out of fashion.}

by DoDo on Thu Jan 3rd, 2008 at 08:56:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: My Iowa Predictions (none / 0)

50 more precincts...

Senator Barack Obama : 32.98%
Senator John Edwards : 32.29%
Senator Hillary Clinton : 31.88%
Governor Bill Richardson : 1.70%
Senator Joe Biden : 1.01%
Senator Chris Dodd : 0.08%
Uncommitted : 0.06%
Precincts Reporting: 586 of 1781
(Percentages are State Delegate Equivalents.)

We have met the enemy, and he is us — Pogo

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jan 3rd, 2008 at 08:58:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: My Iowa Predictions (none / 0)

Senator Barack Obama : 34.06%
Senator John Edwards : 31.71%
Senator Hillary Clinton : 31.45%
Governor Bill Richardson : 1.76%
Senator Joe Biden : 0.94%
Senator Chris Dodd : 0.05%
Uncommitted : 0.03%
Precincts Reporting: 923 of 1781
(Percentages are State Delegate Equivalents.)

>50% counted

A vote for PES is a vote for EPP! A vote for EPP is a vote for PES! Support the coalition, vote EPP-PES in 2009!

by A swedish kind of death on Thu Jan 3rd, 2008 at 09:10:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: My Iowa Predictions (none / 0)

At almost precisely 50%, Clinton still narrowly behind Edwards, Obama in clear lead:

enator Barack Obama : 33.88%
Senator John Edwards : 31.84%
Senator Hillary Clinton : 31.60%
Governor Bill Richardson : 1.68%
Senator Joe Biden : 0.93%
Senator Chris Dodd : 0.05%
Uncommitted : 0.03%
Precincts Reporting: 889 of 1781

_{*Lunatic*, n.

One whose delusions are out of fashion.}

by DoDo on Thu Jan 3rd, 2008 at 09:10:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]

My Iowa Predictions | 292 comments (292 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)

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