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It's going to matter a great deal whether independent vote in the Democratic or Republican primaries.

It could cut either way.  If they think that the Democratic race is over and vote in the Republican primary, then Obama's numbers drop.  If they decided that they can't stand Hucakabee or Romney, and want McCain (an d that their vote will make a difference) because he's a secular conservative, McCain draws that support away from Obama.

And I'll give my consent to any government that does not deny a man a living wage-Billy Bragg

by ManfromMiddletown (manfrommiddletown at lycos dot com) on Sun Jan 6th, 2008 at 02:15:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Not at all likely to happen short of some colossal screw-up from Obama.  (The best chance of that happening came last night, and it didn't.)  McCain is not looking so well, and he desperately needs to win New Hampshire in order to get back in the game.  Zogby's got him hemorrhaging indies to Obama, and, again, we haven't realized the full impact of Iowa in the polls yet.  He's only got a substantial lead in one poll, and if Zogby and other are right, that won't hold.

McCain needed a Clinton win in Iowa, perhaps even more than Clinton.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Sun Jan 6th, 2008 at 02:21:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Politics is like Russian roulette, sometimes you get the bullet.

In the 2004 Illinois Senate race, the Republicans did horribly because their guy was the subject of divorce proceedings where it was revealed he took his wife to strip clubs.  A cardboard cut out of a child molester could have won that race against his replacement, Alan Keyes.

In Indianapolis in 2007, it looked like it was over for the Republicans after there endorsed candidate in the primary talkes about how the Democratic party was beholden to "the Jews."  We laughed so hard we cried.  Then, the replace hi with this roughneck ex marine Greg Ballard, who beat the incumbent Democratic mayor with a serious cash disadvantage.

It's unnatural for races to be static, and most often a sign of apathy or media bias.  The latter being the clear case here.

And I'll give my consent to any government that does not deny a man a living wage-Billy Bragg

by ManfromMiddletown (manfrommiddletown at lycos dot com) on Sun Jan 6th, 2008 at 02:27:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]
In the 2004 Illinois Senate race, the Republicans did horribly because their guy was the subject of divorce proceedings where it was revealed he took his wife to strip clubs.

Let's not forget that this was 7 of 9

The Republicans angered the Star Trek base, which has been the main source of their downfall ever since...

by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Sun Jan 6th, 2008 at 02:39:57 PM EST
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If you've ever been to a Star Trek convention, you'd know why you don't anger the Trekkies.

And I'll give my consent to any government that does not deny a man a living wage-Billy Bragg
by ManfromMiddletown (manfrommiddletown at lycos dot com) on Sun Jan 6th, 2008 at 03:42:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]
More of the media bias charges.  I haven't seen Obama on television in at least two days, while the Edwards people are all running around CNN and MSNBC whining about not being on CNN and MSNBC (proving once again that too many of my fellow southerners just don't get irony), and while the Clinton people have all been running around trashing Iowa and pandering to the "great independent streak" and "the awesomeness of young people" in New Hampshire.

Edwards was on This Week this morning.  Richardson was on Late Edition.  Elizabeth Edwards was on Hardball the other night.  Clinton's been on television demonstrating her "retooling" at rallies and Q&As.  Obama's gone dark (no pun intended), with the exception of a few analyst stating that he now has got to win New Hamster.

This is to say nothing of the media "bias" involved with having St John McCain apparently on for the full hours of both Face the Nation and Meet the Press, despite having come in fourth in Iowa and barely outpacing Ron Paul.

It's a tired narrative.  The evil press is out to get everybody (and nobody, if you believe the Clinstones' line on Obama) somehow.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Sun Jan 6th, 2008 at 02:54:36 PM EST
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