A CNN/WMUR poll out of New Hampshire reported:

DEM:
Obama 39%
Clinton 29%
Edwards 16%
Richardson 7%
Kucinich 2%

Leaving 6% undecided

"Obama is gaining 3% per day."

GOP:
McCain 32%
Romney 26%
Huckabee 14%  (!)
Giuliani 11%  (!)
Paul 10%
Misc 2%

Leaving 3% undecided.

Both winners of the Iowa caucuses have gotten bounces, Obama more than Huckabee.  Huckabee and Giuliani have traded places so it's looking like Huck will come in the top 3 in NH -- which is all he needs going into South Carolina.

It looks like Obama is going to win NH.  The only question is: by what margin?  IF he wins with 50% plus it's going to get real hard for Edwards to maintain his soft support in South Carolina and Tsunami Tuesday (TT.)  Obama WILL win South Carolina and with a high likelihood of swamping Clinton and Edwards.

The GOP is in deep trouble.  If McCain wins New Hampshire, as it appears and Huckabee wins South Carolina, as is likely, wither the R and the Mac? If Paul keeps getting the Wacko 10% all the way through TT and Huckabee wins the South, as is likely, there's no room for an out-right winner.  There's clowns in one corner, jokers in another, and not enough room in the middle.  

Projection: Obama is the clear favorite to and through TT, Feb 5.  Could wrap it up.

The GOP is heading towards a brokered (i.e., Free-for-All) convention.  

ceebs asked:

When  did [a brokered convention in the US] last happen? it does look somewhat entertaining if it turns into a knock-down drag-out fight at the convention.

Me:  I'm double-checking but IIRC in the 1950s.

[I note 'swedish kind of death' asked the same question in shergald's How Obama Lost in Iowa diary.]