Display:
Don't forget that Giuliani still leads in NY, Ca and Fl (which would be a big bunch of delegates). And as Paul is not going to give up soon and even Romney and Thompson don't seem to be dead yet, the candidacy could very well be brokered. If there's no real frontrunner before Super Tuesday, it almost has to be.
At the moment, chances are between 20% and 30% IMHO.

"If you know your enemies and know yourself, you will not be imperiled in a hundred battles." Sun Tzu
by Turambar (sersguenda at hotmail com) on Sun Jan 6th, 2008 at 07:46:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]
verasoie has a pretty good diary on Kos:  The elephant in the room: a brokered (Republican) convention.
by ATinNM on Sun Jan 6th, 2008 at 08:22:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]
If there's still a level of disagreement at the convention, would it be too unreasonable to see horsetrading over policy push their candidates towards unelectability? And a result of that causing further damage  to other republican candidates?

Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Sun Jan 6th, 2008 at 08:39:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Not unreasonable at all.
by ATinNM on Mon Jan 7th, 2008 at 12:17:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Unfortunately I do think it's probably wishful thinking on my part.

Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Mon Jan 7th, 2008 at 12:19:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Display:
Login
. Make a new account
. Reset password
Occasional Series