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He doesn't have the ground game in New Hampshire, but he does have a pretty dedicated base of support.

The air is coming out of the Clinton campaign so fast.  It may well be that Hillary, not Obama (as conventional wisdom had it), winds up being the Howard Dean of 2008.  Fewer people are showing up at her events (only 1/3 capacity for Big Dawg in Bow, NH, per the NYT); her shots aren't landing; she may be running out of money (Trippi may well be onto something there); and it's just been reported that she's pushed her rat-faced chief strategist, Mark "Kill-the-Unions" Penn, out to take over the strategy herself.

Edwards also, as I mentioned the other day, really got to her in the last debate on Saturday.  She was further wounded by that, and she made Edwards appear the more poised and presidential -- allegedly Hillary's strong point -- between he and her.

All signs point to Hillary simply having no answer, and imploding.

I figured her campaign would be tough, -- "No Surrender," "Bury Them All" tough -- but there are signs of desperation everywhere.  Her lead is disintegrating elsewhere, I'd bet, although I obviously don't have access to the internal polling.  You may well be right about Edwards doing worse than I think he will, but right now the Clinton campaign is screaming "Glass Jaw" to me.

Edwards has moved up a bit, but my bet below is on a continuing of Hillary's precipitous decline.  Edwards almost doesn't have to move much, and, again, I think there may be some strategic shifting of voters by Obama on the ground.  He has a massive lead now, and he could put an end to Clinton by helping Edwards without suffering any damage.

WHEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!

by Drew J Jones (blahblahblah@blahblahblah.com) on Mon Jan 7th, 2008 at 01:28:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I chortle.  I laugh in tones of elfen merriness.  Tra-la.  Tra-la.

Clinton is being bit by the ticks she brung with her.

Too late to change strategy.  She wrapped herself in the Inevitability argument and now she's no longer Inevitable that dog won't hunt.  

And she doesn't have anything left.  

Oh, she can try to play the, "In 35 years I ain't done squat" message, as she did in the debate.  That would be really funny to watch.

A doo run-run-run, a doo run-run

by ATinNM on Mon Jan 7th, 2008 at 01:50:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I do feel bad for her, watching her realize that the old guard has led her down the wrong path, and knowing that she's put up with a lot that she didn't deserve over the years.  The right wing has spent years saying hideous things about her and her family (most sickening, her daughter, whom they've tried to shield from politics).  Her husband humiliated her in front of the entire planet.

But, in the end, it can't be denied that she did this to herself.  She supported this hideous war.  She didn't back down from that position.  Then she ran the most conventional, Washington-ized campaign one could imagine, and, when she began to slip, she allowed her staff to launch some truly disgusting dog-whistle attacks on Obama.  And she's going to pay for it by losing her shot at the White House.

So I feel bad for her in some ways, but, at the end of the day, she has only herself to blame.

WHEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!

by Drew J Jones (blahblahblah@blahblahblah.com) on Mon Jan 7th, 2008 at 02:10:50 PM EST
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There's that. And Bill.

It was her big mistake to let him out of the bag this summer and during the '06 election cycle. BIG mistake.

The "strategists" shoulda let that dwag lie in fond remembrance.

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.

by MarketTrustee (pbing@estudioinc.com) on Mon Jan 7th, 2008 at 03:21:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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