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Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper, the first Western leader to contest an election since the financial meltdown, won a second minority government mandate Tuesday, two television networks projected.

The Conservatives convinced voters they were the best choice to steer Canada through the economic turmoil, but projections by Global Television and CTV put them short of winning a majority. That means they would still need opposition party support to govern.

The official opposition Liberals, who have historically governed Canada for longer than any other party, trailed far behind in second place and looked set for their worst showing in at least 20 years.


What's the matter with Canada? For one, they have a disproportional representation system:

Matthew Yglesias » Home Page

The big winner from the Canadian electoral system is the Bloc Québécois. But the main problem with the system isn't even that it's unfair -- the US Senate is horribly unfair -- but that the system is incredibly unresponsive to shifts in voter sentiment or behavior.

The electorate moves left, stops backing the centre-left liberal party. Consequently, the government moves to the right.

All other things equal, the system isn't just unresponsive, it's perverse. If certain moves towards the right by the conservative party (say, building nuclear power stations to extract oil from the Alberta tar sands) radicalise the left, the resulting splits benefit the right as long as it hangs onto its own base (it doesn't need more than 40%).

It might still be cured by better leadership among the liberals.

by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Wed Oct 15th, 2008 at 05:06:21 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The Conservatives convinced voters they were the best choice... but projections ... put them short of winning a majority

How can someone write down such a total contradiction. Cognitive dissonance at its best.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Wed Oct 15th, 2008 at 05:13:58 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Heh - yes. The conservatives got only 37.6% of the vote. Still a slight increase (1.4 percentage points), while the three left parties between them lost 0.5 percentage points of the vote.

For the record, I should have included that the piece is by reuters, not by JMM or TPM staff.

by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Wed Oct 15th, 2008 at 07:42:37 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I have now updated my article about the Canadian election, with the provisional results after consulting the CBC and Elections Canada websites.

The reason why Canadian elections have perverse results is that the first past the post system rewards concentrated support and penalises parties with votes spread more thinly.

Given that most Quebec seats are won by the Bloc Quebecois (likely to return about 40-50 seats for the forseeable future) and the New Democratic Party (with more than twice the Bloc's overall vote) is likely to elect 20-40 members, the results will be highly disproportional and neither of the two major parties is likely to obtain an overall majority.

by Gary J on Wed Oct 15th, 2008 at 09:03:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]
"first past the post system"

First past the post is incompatible with meaningful democracy.

by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Wed Oct 15th, 2008 at 09:26:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Thanks! The update being current event, I re-set the timestamp of your diary.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Wed Oct 15th, 2008 at 09:56:15 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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