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by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 15th, 2008 at 02:46:31 PM EST
German General on the War: NATO's Naivete in Afghanistan - SPIEGEL ONLINE - News - International

A number of military men have voiced concern recently about the progress of the war in Afghanistan. German Major General Hans-Lothar Domröse has joined the chorus. The NATO third in command in Afghanistan says the West was "perhaps a bit naïve."

 German troops have been in Afghanistan since the beginning. On Thursday, Germany's parliament, the Bundestag, is set to extend the country's mandate in Afghanistan by an additional 14 months and up its troop contingent by 1,000 to 4,500. Given that Chancellor Angela Merkel's government is a coalition of Germany's two largest parties -- the Christian Democrats and the Social Democrats -- the vote is seen as a sure thing.

Increasingly, though, the mission in Afghanistan is not. The voices of doubt about the mission have been multiplying as the death toll of NATO troops and Afghan civilians continues to rise and the Taliban shows no sign of disappearing. Earlier this month, Brigadier Mark Carleton-Smith, the departing commander of British forces in Afghanistan, added gravitas to the pessimism, saying "we're not going to win this war."

On Wednesday, the highest ranking German commander in Afghanistan, Major General Hans-Lothar Domröse, voiced his concerns in an interview with the Süddeutsche Zeitung. Domröse is the chief of staff of NATO's International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) and thus third in command of the 50,000 soldiers under NATO command in Afghanistan. He said in the interview that the West has gotten more than it bargained for in Afghanistan.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 15th, 2008 at 02:51:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The NATO third in command in Afghanistan says the West was "perhaps a bit naïve."

The understatement of the day...

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Wed Oct 15th, 2008 at 03:21:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]
It's what happens when european leaders cede control of their foreign policy to a mad militarist aquisitive empire.

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Wed Oct 15th, 2008 at 03:57:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]
...a mad militarist aquisitive empire.

                               Is that supposed to be a snide comment about Malta?

I knew then, and I suppose you knew then, that everything out of Bush's mouth was a lie and every adventure tied to his corporate cronies.

But I don't remember if that was common knowledge yet.

Was the decision to get a war on based upon the coat tails of 11 September? not wanting to appear wimpish? hope for money into EADS? Why did everyone get involved in Bush's killing machine?

Don't they teach the History of Hubris in these prep schools for leaders? Especially the history of Afghanistan. Jeesh. Everyone, eventually, gets greeted with poppies.

Never underestimate their intelligence, always underestimate their knowledge.

Frank Delaney ~ Ireland

by siegestate (siegestate or beyondwarispeace.com) on Thu Oct 16th, 2008 at 08:03:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]
That's a good question and I'm not sure I've ever seen it framed like that.

I think in the immedaite aftermath of 9/11 when there was a genuine sentiment of wanting to help, there was a bit of an all-hands-to-the-pump "build an alliance like we had for Gulf War 1" feeling around the world.

My initial sentiment at the time that some sort of attack on the Afghan Taliban was understandable and was gratified when the first discussions I heard were of avoiding using the Northern alliance who were just as bad in their own way as the Taliban.

However, I rapidly began to suspect what was going on because the US were so wary of losing their own troops that they wouldn't commit to ground attacks initially. Just bombing from 40,000 feet which anyone knows is indiscriminate and likely to cause far more damage to civilians than it is to Talibs. then the Northern Allaiance were brought on board and I knew then nothing good would come of it.

However, I think the whole world should have smelt a rat once the US started beating a drum about Iraq. That's when NATO should have said "we finish Afghanistan first, all the way to nation building (despite Rumsfeldt saying US don't build nations) before you go off on something else entirely. And if you don't, we're out of here. We're not cleaning up after you while you piss off elsewhere".

Even if they didn't admit it to the public, the politicians knew the yanks were lying about Iraq and 9/11 and the whole axis of weevils thing. That's when they could/should have called halt. That was the moment they should have known the B-C regime had gone over the edge. Trouble is, Blair had gone over with them/before them and he gave them the international credibility to at least let them do what htey wanted.

Blair is the most guilty, cos he was more gung-ho for Sadddam than anyone.

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Oct 16th, 2008 at 09:05:48 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Especially the history of Afghanistan.

At least the Germans learn it. The Militärgeschichtliches Forschungsamt has published a book (PDF here) with basic information about Afghanistan. It includes the full text of Fontane's Trauerspiel von Afghanistan

»Die hören sollen, sie hören nicht mehr,
Vernichtet ist das ganze Heer,
Mit dreizehntausend der Zug begann,
Einer kam heim aus Afghanistan.«

English translation from some blog
Those who should hear, they'll hear nevermore,
Destroyed, dispersed is the proud host of yore;
With thirteen thousand their trail they began.
Only one man returned from Afghanistan.

Not that knowing this made any difference.
by gk (g k quattro due due sette "at" gmail.com) on Thu Oct 16th, 2008 at 04:47:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Federal deficit hits record $455 billion
The shortfall for fiscal 2008 is even larger than had been feared.
By Richard Simon, LA Times

The final accounting for fiscal 2008 produced a larger shortfall than had been projected, reflecting the start of federal efforts to address the economic emergency...

The deficit is likely to be even bigger next year as the country copes with the worst financial crisis since the Depression.

The new figure breaks the previous record deficit of $413 billion in 2004 and more than doubles the 2007 deficit of $162 billion. It has focused new attention on government spending, coming just days after the National Debt Clock in New York City ran out of digits to record the overall national debt, which passed $10 trillion.

The LA Times thinks this will become a "key issue as the presidential race winds down", but I doubt it. Neither candidate will say the obvious, the U.S. must raise taxes and only McCain has hinted at cutting defense spending.

by Magnifico on Wed Oct 15th, 2008 at 02:51:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]
It is even more noteworthy that no estamate was released for 2009. Experts quoted unnamed in various papers assume $700 billion.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Wed Oct 15th, 2008 at 03:22:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]
$700 billion is an optimistic figure. I've seen trillion dollar estimates too.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Wed Oct 15th, 2008 at 04:23:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Then I'd expect $700 billion, and declaraions that $1 trillion was averted.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Wed Oct 15th, 2008 at 04:36:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Business Day - News Worth Knowing

SINGAPORE - Oil prices fell below US$78 a barrel today in Asia on concern a massive bank bailout by the US and Europe won't keep the global economy from slipping into a severe slowdown that would erode crude demand.

Light, sweet crude for next month's delivery was down 98 cents to US$77,65 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange by midafternoon in Singapore. The contract fell overnight US$2,56 to settle at US$78,63. Oil prices have fallen by 47% since peaking near US$150 a barrel in mid-July.

"People are worried that the world economy is heading for recession," said Gerard Rigby, an energy analyst at Fuel First Consulting in Sydney. "The bailout may save the banks, but companies are still laying off workers and demand is going to suffer."

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 15th, 2008 at 02:57:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]
are speculating that there is a lot of brutal unwining of hedge fund money (tons of funds are fored to close and to liquidate their commodity assets - to which I add: their non-dollar assets, too) AND that a lot of the oil supply chain is unable to purchase oil due to credit crunch issues, which might lead to shortages fairly soon.

So oil might zoom up pretty high pretty fast soon.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Wed Oct 15th, 2008 at 04:25:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I'd guess the first week of November.
by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Wed Oct 15th, 2008 at 05:25:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Just when the IEA World Outlook of DOOM is bound to come out. :)

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Wed Oct 15th, 2008 at 05:44:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Which makes Chris Cook's diary all the more interesting. Oil prices, as any other prices of can't-live-without commodities, are subject to sentiment.

What the Tehran conference is about is a Petrotrust: which is fundamentally different from a bourse.

You can't be me, I'm taken

by Sven Triloqvist on Wed Oct 15th, 2008 at 05:44:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Russian gas executives visit Palin's turf - International Herald Tribune

MOSCOW: A high-level delegation from the Russian energy company Gazprom met in Anchorage with state officials on Monday to talk about investing in Alaskan energy projects. The meeting came nearly three weeks after Governor Sarah Palin of Alaska talked in a television interview about her expertise in energy matters and took a hard line with Russia.

Senior officials of Gazprom said at a shareholder meeting in Moscow in June that the company was seeking to take part in a consortium that is building a natural gas pipeline from Alaska to Canada. The company is also interested in investing in other energy initiatives in the state, according to a statement released by Gazprom on Tuesday about the meeting in Anchorage.

"Gazprom has accumulated great experience in exploring hydrocarbon deposits, building and using gas pipelines in the far north environment," the company said in the statement. "Gazprom's experience will be relevant in realization of similar projects in Alaska."

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Oct 15th, 2008 at 02:58:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Ah, the beauty of Russian realpolitik. (IOW I interpret this as a little balancing.)

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Wed Oct 15th, 2008 at 03:24:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Seems like the Russians prefer investing in foreign gas fields and pipes rather than their own. Better deplete the foreigners first, eh? ;)

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Wed Oct 15th, 2008 at 04:19:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]
What I was thinking of was more political in nature, a political motivation behind the where and when of Gazprom's move. I.e. the maxim to never take too clear sides in disputes among/internally within rival great powers and don't help anyone win too great a victory. In this case, giving a bone to the Palin campaign and thus Republicans.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Wed Oct 15th, 2008 at 04:40:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]
This will likely not be a big issue, but I thought I would bring to attention the fact that the hurricane which is lurking in our neighborhood is going to pass right over the US Virgin Island of St. Croix which has the largest oil refinery (or at least it used to be) in the hemisphere.  Formerly owned by Hess Oil, it is now a joint venture with the Venezuelan Oil company PDVSA.

"Beware of the man who does not talk, and the dog that does not bark." Cheyenne
by maracatu on Wed Oct 15th, 2008 at 07:21:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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