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With Latino's breaking 69% to 26% New Mexico is going Obama, not enough GOP numbers in CD 2 to counter.
by ATinNM on Mon Oct 13th, 2008 at 11:05:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]
It'll be wider than that among Latinos, I think.  Probably more like 73-75% for Obama in the end.  I suspect he'll come close with whites, and the blowout among Latinos will be more than enough to put it away.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Mon Oct 13th, 2008 at 11:37:29 PM EST
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Well.  Maybe.

I'm hoping the RCC Archbishop up in Santa Fe keeps his damn mouth shut this time.  Convinced he threw NM to Bush in '04 by his pre-election Sunday sermon and the letter he sent to the RCC priests.  

by ATinNM on Tue Oct 14th, 2008 at 12:00:07 AM EST
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I'm watching Chuck Todd move Missouri to toss-up, West Virginia from "Solid McCain" to "Lean McCain," and asking for polling data from Arkansas.

Now Chuck's usually a little behind the curve, and -- bless his little heart -- he's trying his damnedest to not put Obama over 270 yet.

But Arkansas?  If Todd's right, things have really gone funny, and I'm gonna need to lie down.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Tue Oct 14th, 2008 at 12:12:00 AM EST
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Arkansas?  Huh?

Rasmussen had McCain up 9 in their 9/22 poll.

Wonder what he is hearing.

by ATinNM on Tue Oct 14th, 2008 at 12:23:50 AM EST
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Well, if it was 9 on 9/22, it's not inconceivable to think it could've closed to perhaps four or five, I guess, but I suspect AR won't swing with the national movements in the same way that (say) Virginia does.  Sort of the opposite of Michigan, which has swung massively -- more than the nationals.  I suspect it's no closer than 6.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Tue Oct 14th, 2008 at 12:48:43 AM EST
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