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With Latino's breaking 69% to 26% New Mexico is going Obama, not enough GOP numbers in CD 2 to counter.


A doo run-run-run, a doo run-run
by ATinNM on Mon Oct 13th, 2008 at 11:05:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]
It'll be wider than that among Latinos, I think.  Probably more like 73-75% for Obama in the end.  I suspect he'll come close with whites, and the blowout among Latinos will be more than enough to put it away.

WHEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!
by Drew J Jones (blahblahblah@blahblahblah.com) on Mon Oct 13th, 2008 at 11:37:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Well.  Maybe.

I'm hoping the RCC Archbishop up in Santa Fe keeps his damn mouth shut this time.  Convinced he threw NM to Bush in '04 by his pre-election Sunday sermon and the letter he sent to the RCC priests.  

A doo run-run-run, a doo run-run

by ATinNM on Tue Oct 14th, 2008 at 12:00:07 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I'm watching Chuck Todd move Missouri to toss-up, West Virginia from "Solid McCain" to "Lean McCain," and asking for polling data from Arkansas.

Now Chuck's usually a little behind the curve, and -- bless his little heart -- he's trying his damnedest to not put Obama over 270 yet.

But Arkansas?  If Todd's right, things have really gone funny, and I'm gonna need to lie down.

WHEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!

by Drew J Jones (blahblahblah@blahblahblah.com) on Tue Oct 14th, 2008 at 12:12:00 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Arkansas?  Huh?

Rasmussen had McCain up 9 in their 9/22 poll.

Wonder what he is hearing.

A doo run-run-run, a doo run-run

by ATinNM on Tue Oct 14th, 2008 at 12:23:50 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, if it was 9 on 9/22, it's not inconceivable to think it could've closed to perhaps four or five, I guess, but I suspect AR won't swing with the national movements in the same way that (say) Virginia does.  Sort of the opposite of Michigan, which has swung massively -- more than the nationals.  I suspect it's no closer than 6.

WHEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!
by Drew J Jones (blahblahblah@blahblahblah.com) on Tue Oct 14th, 2008 at 12:48:43 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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