European Tribune - Comments - Monday Open Thread

Monday Open Thread | 149 comments (149 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)

hmm quick run through of calculations, if you had 100% turnout on those figures, a 66% obama vote amongst the young and a 90% Obama vote amongst Black voters, (I'm sure I've seen that proportion somewhere) then he's only going to need 17% of the other voters, (Including those non black, non youthful democrats)

Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.

by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Mon Oct 13th, 2008 at 01:40:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Monday Open Thread (none / 1)

Quick and dirty: Obama's going to get 95% of the black vote under the worst-case scenario, I'd guess. 90% is the standard-issue share for a Democrat in the post-Clinton Era. 97% or 98% is not unlikely.

He needs about 35-37% of the white vote in NC to win it in that scenario. Right now he's running at about 37-39% in pre-Wachovia Collapse polling, and I suspect the number will rise a bit. At 40%, it's over.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Mon Oct 13th, 2008 at 01:43:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Monday Open Thread | 149 comments (149 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)

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