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Sure, but the story about the recipe doesn't have to be correct: I can go to chi kung seminar, spend a day learning about chi and releasing chi and so on via some exercises and still find the exercises useful and relaxing and healing without ever accepting a word about chi energy flows in any real sense: the recipe works, even if the story to explain it is nonsense.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Sun Oct 19th, 2008 at 12:50:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Colman:
the recipe works, even if the story to explain it is nonsense.

classic colman!

weird isnt it?

the point where reason just keels over and...accepts.

~"When an inner situation is not made conscious, it appears outside as fate." Karl Jung~

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Sun Oct 19th, 2008 at 01:49:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Reason hasn't keeled over: reason just has nothing to work with. There is the fact of the subjective experience or our own body, which we know better than to accept as necessarily representing any outside reality, an explanation for that experience which is based in a mystic religion and not much else. I'm not in a position to even ask the questions that would start the required research programme.

So the reasonable thing to do is accept that the trick works, discount the woo-woo story and don't worry too much about why it works.

by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Mon Oct 20th, 2008 at 05:46:56 AM EST
[ Parent ]
ookkk, 'keeled over' in the sense of surrendering to forces beyond its ken, not die really. maybe the attachment to the sense of control one infers from thinking one understands the forces at work, rather than simply relaxing into the miracle that it does work.

maybe digging the mystery of it too, that such a homespun technology, (in the same sense that knowledge of training horses is 'technology' too), should elude the intellectual understanding demanded by double-blind tests and the like.

'woo-woo' is an appellation used to distance oneself from attempting to delve deeper into meeting the experience, rather than laying back and letting it roll over you, as you say, not worrying about the why.

what especially fascinates me is that after this brief abdication of the instinct for categorisation, one's reason seems to work better.

as if it had had a refreshing rest!

not to dismiss the importance of reason, not at all, just to put it in its place as useful complement to other sources of less easily quantifiable data.

~"When an inner situation is not made conscious, it appears outside as fate." Karl Jung~

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Mon Oct 20th, 2008 at 10:30:32 AM EST
[ Parent ]
It is, incidentally, probably a bit early to celebrate the death of reason.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Mon Oct 20th, 2008 at 05:50:21 AM EST
[ Parent ]
What could possibly make you say that? History has already ended, after all. Shouldn't reason be next :-P

- Jake

If you only spend 20 minutes of the rest of your life on economics, go spend them here.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Mon Oct 20th, 2008 at 07:16:01 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I'm still waiting for the birth of reason.

So far we have some labels and something which twitches into life occasionally, but given what seems to go on in everyone's mind most of the time, that's about the extent of it.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Mon Oct 20th, 2008 at 07:35:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]
After Reason's birth, I think it underwent postnatal abortion sometime during the French Revolution.
by ATinNM on Mon Oct 20th, 2008 at 03:11:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]
It might be more appropriate to say that the recipe works regardless of whether or not the user believes the story.  The story might seem wildly improbable, but how do you prove that it is incorrect?  Research has shown that bio-electric fields are important to ontology and to healing.  Perhaps the chi energy flows described by the practitioner constitute an intuitive approach to aspects of the body that science is just beginning to explore.  That is what many of the practitioners claim.  If their "map" leads them to therapeutic actions that can now be explained in the context of western science, how can we say that they were not on to something from the start and that western science is just now beginning to understand what they have been doing for centuries?

As the Dutch said while fighting the Spanish: "It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Sun Oct 19th, 2008 at 04:38:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]
How do you prove it correct? Sure, they could be onto something, but how do you tell?
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Mon Oct 20th, 2008 at 01:33:42 AM EST
[ Parent ]
How do you prove it correct?
You could start by postulating that these practitioners and those traditions are worthy of study.  Then compare their maps for chakras or acupuncture points with measurements of bio-electric fields and the relative intensities of these fields in subjects that are complaining of symptoms and those who are not.  Work closely with skilled practitioners of these arts who have good reputations in their cultures of origin.  It is likely that, if there is a physical basis for their work, that the ability to monitor postulated effects will be very useful to them and will allow them to make testable suggestions.

In Jake's example of the deadly mushroom hunt, were you to partner with a shaman from a local culture it is highly likely that you would only eat mushrooms that had properties that he predicted.  Scientifically minded non-botanists who were foolish enough to participate in such a procedure on their own would be subject to the same winnowing he described.  Hell, even animals usually do better than that.  How do they manage?

As the Dutch said while fighting the Spanish: "It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."

by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Mon Oct 20th, 2008 at 01:49:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]
But the point of my example is precisely that you don't get to talk to all the shamans who can't do it right. On account of them suffering from a severe case of being dead.

So yes, the shaman may know which mushrooms to pick. In fact, if I had to choose between a local who's been mushroom hunting for years on end in the same area and a botanist who's never studied the particular area in question, I'd go with the local. Hands down, no contest. But that doesn't mean that the local's explanation of how you can tell which mushrooms are poisonous makes sense. It's perfectly possible to construct a memorable narrative that gets all the known facts right and yet is completely incapable of dealing with new facts - i.e. has no predictive power.

Local knowledge is, in fact, often used as a starting point for scientific enquiry - but usually the first part of the exercise is to strip out all the concrete facts and discard the fluffy narrative.

So going back to the acupuncture example, you'd start by investigating whether sticking needles into people at random points produces medically interesting effects. It's perfectly testable whether "traditional" acupuncture has stumbled upon a useful fact that sticking needles in people actually triggers a useful biological response.

The second thing to investigate is whether sticking needles into certain points produces effects that differ from sticking needles into semi-random points. Again, this is a perfectly testable proposition.

Chakras, however, are not useful at any point in this exercise, except insofar as they can serve as mnemonic tricks, similar to learning multiplication by doing times tables. The times tables aren't interesting in and of themselves, they're just a scaffolding you can use to memorise facts. By contrast, while scientific theories can serve as mental scaffolding, their greatest value is that they can be extrapolated to cover unknown situations.

Faced with an unknown mushroom, our shaman wouldn't know whether it was poisonous or not (he'd very probably know whether to eat it or not, but that's not quite the same thing :-p). The botanist wouldn't either, of course, it being an unknown mushroom. But the botanist would know how to run a chemical analysis on it and compare the results to a list of known chemical substances. For that matter, if he has a good chemist at his lab, he'd be able to extrapolate from the known toxicity of related chemicals to hazard an educated guess as to whether the mushroom is dangerous or not.

- Jake

If you only spend 20 minutes of the rest of your life on economics, go spend them here.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Mon Oct 20th, 2008 at 03:55:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]
JakeS:
The second thing to investigate is whether sticking needles into certain points produces effects that differ from sticking needles into semi-random points. Again, this is a perfectly testable proposition.

Not necessarily, because this assumes that it's the needles and the sticking which are important.

Something else could always be going on. A more interesting test would be a combination of self reporting - not for definitive results, but for pointers - with a battery of tests for a wider spectrum of outcomes.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Mon Oct 20th, 2008 at 05:21:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Because firstly, most of their results are frankly not clinically interesting. In most cases (and for many kinds of woo-woo in all cases investigated), the improvement felt by the individual comes down to confirmation bias, regression to the mean and various and sundry other well-known mental short-circuits.

Realigning your Chakras will cure a common cold in seven days. Doing absolutely nothing will cure a common cold in a week.

Secondly, attempting to claim equivalence between bioelectric potentials and Chi flows is just plain silly. This is precisely the kind of rhetorical slight-of-hand and "gotcha" games that makes people who actually spend some time studying science exasperated with woo-woos.

Thirdly, even if a religious ritual happens to chance upon something that works above and beyond confirmation bias, placebo effect and what have we, it does not necessarily validate the underlying model.

To illustrate this, let me tell a little story:

1000 people went picking mushrooms one by one. Each found two mushrooms - one of which is instantly lethal when consumed, the other is harmless - and each of them flips a coin to decide which to eat for dinner.

The next day, the remaining five hundred go out into the woods and find two mushrooms - one dangerous and one harmless. Again, each flips a coin to decide which one to eat.

This repeats itself on the third day.

On the fourth day, the remaining 125 people meet for a Grand Council where they relate their recent experiences in the craft of mushroom picking.

They then conclude that flipping a coin to decide which mushrooms to eat makes perfect sense - after all, it's worked for all of them for three days in a row, which cannot possibly be a coincidence.

Attending the council meeting is a botanist, who happens to have a handbook on mushroom picking. He courteously explains that his professional opinion is that using the handbook to discern between poisonous and edible mushrooms is superior to using the coin-flip method.

The coin-flippers tell the botanist that they already know which mushrooms are edible: The coin told them, and what the coin told them matches what the botanist's science tells them. So obviously the two must be equivalent. Or, in fact, the coin-flipping method is slightly superior on account of having found the edible mushrooms first and faster and with less fuss and bother. So they'll stick to the coin-flipping method, thankyouverymuch.

The council is dissolved and each coin-flipper goes his own ways to search for mushrooms.

Ten days later, the botanist is the only one attending the meeting who is still alive.

The End.

- Jake

If you only spend 20 minutes of the rest of your life on economics, go spend them here.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Mon Oct 20th, 2008 at 07:54:20 AM EST
[ Parent ]
LOL

A pertinent comment in Finland at this autumn mushroom-picking time ;-)

However, you forgot to add to your story the alternative botanist who carefully collected and consumed Amanita muscaria, and who, for short periods of time, regarded the Council and its members as a cosmic energy flow in another dimension.

You can't be me, I'm taken

by Sven Triloqvist on Mon Oct 20th, 2008 at 08:05:44 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Can't rightly take credit for the story - it's a rip-off of one of Orac's old posts, where he uses day-traders as the example. Too lazy to dig it out, though.

- Jake

If you only spend 20 minutes of the rest of your life on economics, go spend them here.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Mon Oct 20th, 2008 at 08:16:25 AM EST
[ Parent ]
JakeS:
Because firstly, most of their results are frankly not clinically interesting. In most cases (and for many kinds of woo-woo in all cases investigated), the improvement felt by the individual comes down to confirmation bias, regression to the mean and various and sundry other well-known mental short-circuits.

This isn't actually true. It's probably impossible to investigate woo woo without confirmation bias on either side, and I can certainly think of at least one disconformation study with a methodology which would have been rightly ripped to shreds or ignored if it hadn't produced a negative result.

In the placebo studies I mentioned, the results were statistically significant. In fact they were more significant than the results of mainstream drug studies - not that that's a high standard, necessarily. But even so.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Mon Oct 20th, 2008 at 09:32:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]
You always get bad papers in any discipline, on any subject. The question is whether you get good papers on the subject or not.

- Jake

If you only spend 20 minutes of the rest of your life on economics, go spend them here.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Mon Oct 20th, 2008 at 11:34:57 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Or how easy it is to get them researched in the first place, and published in 'serious' journals if they challenge conventional wisdom.

But that just highlights the double standard - this study was quoted by 'serious' researchers as if it was definitive and utterly professional, when in fact it was a very small data set collected under less than strictly controlled conditions as a high school student science fair project.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Mon Oct 20th, 2008 at 05:25:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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