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POLITICS: Final Text of Iraq Pact Reveals a U.S. Debacle
Analysis by Gareth Porter*

WASHINGTON, Oct 22 (IPS) - The final draft of the U.S.-Iraq Status of Forces agreement on the U.S. military presence represents an even more crushing defeat for the policy of the George W. Bush administration than previously thought, the final text reveals.

The final draft, dated Oct. 13, not only imposes unambiguous deadlines for withdrawal of U.S. combat troops by 2011 but makes it extremely unlikely that a U.S. non-combat presence will be allowed to remain in Iraq for training and support purposes beyond the 2011 deadline for withdrawal of all U.S. combat forces.

Furthermore, Shiite opposition to the pact as a violation of Iraqi sovereignty makes the prospects for passage of even this agreement by the Iraqi parliament doubtful. Pro-government Shiite parties, the top Shiite clerical body in the country, and a powerful movement led by nationalist cleric Moqtada al-Sadr that recently mobilised hundreds of thousands of demonstrators in protest against the pact, are all calling for its defeat.

At an Iraqi cabinet meeting Tuesday, ministers raised objections to the final draft, and a government spokesman said that the agreement would not submit it to the parliament in its current form. But Secretary of Defence Robert Gates told three news agencies Tuesday that the door was "pretty far closed" on further negotiations.

In the absence of an agreement approved by the Iraqi parliament, U.S. troops in Iraq will probably be confined to their bases once the United Nations mandate expires Dec. 31.

The clearest sign of the dramatically reduced U.S. negotiating power in the final draft is the willingness of the United States to give up extraterritorial jurisdiction over U.S. contractors and their employees and over U.S. troops in the case of "major and intentional crimes" that occur outside bases and while off duty. The United States has never allowed a foreign country to have jurisdiction over its troops in any previous status of forces agreement.
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Fri Oct 24th, 2008 at 03:40:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I sincerely hope the Iraqi parliament will hold its ground, and that this "Pact" is indeed a sign of a weakened US position.

The question of the US's presence is critical in many respects but most notably in that Bremer's infamous, corporatist 100 Orders will, in principle, be rescindable, when / if the US gets the hell out.

All of the Orders are despicable, across the board, but none more so than N° 81, which outlaws the use of native wheat seed, in favor of genetically modified varieties [you'll never guess who was breathing down Bremer's neck].

More on Order 81 here. As for the 99 others, see here and here.

by Loefing on Fri Oct 24th, 2008 at 05:17:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Fortunately for the Iraqis, I doubt the CPA or Iraqi gov has ever had anywhere close to enough power to actually enforce something as absurd as that.
by Zwackus on Fri Oct 24th, 2008 at 05:44:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]
There's been a shortage of seed, not to mention security, these past years. And farmers are looking to the government for help.

A handful of seasons of gm wheat cultivation would suffice to irreperably pollute an 8000 year patrimony of wheat species.

by Loefing on Fri Oct 24th, 2008 at 06:13:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]
scusi: 'irreparably'.
by Loefing on Fri Oct 24th, 2008 at 06:15:16 PM EST
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Isn't gm wheat often engineered for a single growing season, to prevent farmers from reusing the seeds the next year?

--
$E(X_t|F_s) = X_s,\quad t > s$
by martingale on Sat Oct 25th, 2008 at 05:36:59 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Out of curiosity, why are the American bases still allowed if there is no agreement?
by asdf on Fri Oct 24th, 2008 at 11:31:52 PM EST
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by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Sat Oct 25th, 2008 at 02:39:10 AM EST
[ Parent ]
by asdf on Sat Oct 25th, 2008 at 10:52:56 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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