Great diary.

One of the problems I see in Iceland which I think is an urgent problem for "an economics of the left" or "heterodox economics" to consider is... how can a place like Iceland grow?

Part of the reason the Friedmanite gospel was so enthusiastically embraced was that it offered a small island in the North Atlantic with limited trade resources a way to greater prosperity.

Fish and wool are just not the engines of wealth-bringing trade at this moment. The green (thermal) power makes life in Iceland more sustainable, but it's not something you can export.

Now I'll agree that no-one in Iceland has an intrinsic right to afford Range Rovers and other status symbols that the owners of the privatised banks in particular seemed to love...

Still... does an "economics of the left" really hold out anything more than the decline of resource-poor regions?

by Metatone (metatone [a|t] gmail (dot) com) on Sat Oct 25th, 2008 at 09:05:36 AM EST
Time to do what I do best ... ask questions.
 

Now I'll agree that no-one in Iceland has an intrinsic right to afford Range Rovers and other status symbols that the owners of the privatised banks in particular seemed to love...


Still... does an "economics of the left" really hold out anything more than the decline of resource-poor regions?

Question based on top quote:  Are you defining "the good life" as being able to afford "Range Rovers" etc, .  Are Range Rovers even useful, practical in Iceland's environment or would it just be a status symbol?

Question based on bottom quote:  The "decline" that you are concerned about ... is this simply the loss of the ability to have wall-to-wall Range Rovers or are we talking about having nothing to exchange for the basics ... food, fuel, etc.?

Time to start questioning the ASSUMPTIONS, one of the beginnings of change.

In the end, might makes right. Nothing has changed since the caveman.

by THE Twank (yatta blah blah @ blah.com) on Sat Oct 25th, 2008 at 09:31:53 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Uh...

I guess I didn't express it clearly.

I'm saying that there is no reason to build particular "earth-killing" status symbols into an economic model.

However... I'm also saying food and fuel is not enough!

Is there a mechanism in leftist economics for countries who have limited resources to move beyond subsistence living?

For people - there's redistribution, safety nets and education. But we haven't begun to develop these things seriously for countries...

It's mostly a point about why the Friedmanite model is psychologically appealing if you don't live in a big country with lots of resources...

by Metatone (metatone [a|t] gmail (dot) com) on Sat Oct 25th, 2008 at 10:10:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Is there a mechanism in leftist economics for countries who have limited resources to move beyond subsistence living?

OK, good place to start.

Question: The US loves to enhance its standard of liveing through (what I would define as) illegal means; example, invasion of Iraq to secure crude oil resources.  Are you allowing for illegal/immoral "mechanisms"?  If not, that's cool.  Just asking questions.

In the end, might makes right. Nothing has changed since the caveman.

by THE Twank (yatta blah blah @ blah.com) on Sat Oct 25th, 2008 at 10:19:29 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I suspect we can rule out the unethical 'means' of wealth generation--metatone correct me if not-- maybe  what we really need to ask is first what type of 'wealth' are we talking about?

Obviously, not Range Rovers, but perhaps relatively sophisticated manufactured goods? Ovens, refrigerators, washers--standard appliances that are truly labor saving and improve the quality of life. Another level of wealth would be those thing which are entertaining and useful in drawing us closer to the larger world, computers, routers, televisions, radios, etc.

Robert Wright postulated in NonZeroSum that the world was on an evolutionary course toward greater knowledge /complexity, effected, as he saw it by more tightly intergrated transportation and communication mechanisms, those in turn were driven by man's natural propensity to trade. In his view, trade was an underlying mechanism--rather like natural selection--that was a driving force for social evolution.

Of course, as we all know, if we've read our Gould, there's no reason to suggest that evolution has any real 'goal' or purpose. Biology is not necessarily teleological. We just like to think of ourselves as an obvious endpoint, rather than say the horse (I'd personally argue that bacteria could make a greater claim as a 'sucessful' species, but I digress) So arguments about the mechanisms of 'trade' as evolutionary and good and leading to the glorious flat world (qua T. Friedman and M. Friedman) are just that--arguments. There's nothing to suggest that a society--or collection of societies --that manage to trade excessively and create lots of stuff -- is actually better suited for survival than a society that trades less, has less of those things we call 'wealth' but perhaps prioritizes their cultural so that communication and knowledge exchange is highly valued, material exchange, not so much.

So I'm thinking the idea of wealth needs to be understood outside of a commoditized context. Wealth is not necessarily 'a thing', wealth can perhaps better be thought of as a comfortable relation between the physical world and ourselves; and that comfort should be thought of in both pyschological and physical terms. For example I think there are huge pyschic imbalances in the western world view that sees  animals, land and water as a means towards wealth generation and not an end in and of itself. When metatone described the idea of 'subsistence' living, as some how 'not' wealthy, I was struck by how fundamentally locked into the idea of 'wealth as things' we are. I think if we're going to survive as a species (which I am deeply in favor of) we need to move beyond that view.

by delicatemonster (delicatemons@delicatemonster.com) on Sat Oct 25th, 2008 at 10:59:33 AM EST
[ Parent ]
We should have a full blown discussion here at ET.  I gotta go for my morning walk and cookie buying run (got a tutoring student coming by this afternoon.  Promised her cookies if she would invest her time in a weekend session.) but I will return.

Question:  What is the "good life" that people are striving for?

YES   YES  YES !!!

In the end, might makes right. Nothing has changed since the caveman.

by THE Twank (yatta blah blah @ blah.com) on Sat Oct 25th, 2008 at 11:29:30 AM EST
[ Parent ]
but what do you expect from a bonnie raitt fan?

interesting diary...of course friedman's voodoo looked good, laying in the hot springs wishing you could vary your rotted shark diet, and wondering what your home would be worth if glossy malls and phat SUVs started springing up everywhere...

like alchemists of old, turn dross into cash, baby, live now, pay later, it's magic, look we're real first-worlders now.

as goes iceland today, so will go england tomorrow.

over-populated, resources inadequate and abused, self-sufficiency will have to take over from lying for money phancy phinancial shervices as prime national priority.

and a better country will ensue, once the corner's turned...

and the icelanders will get back in their free sulphur-water and get back to phantasising about the next cargo cultist who will come along and show them how to be real players in the Great CON Game.

they might still have the last laugh, as england struggles to make enough hot water to keep 60,000,000+ people clean, beating old range-rovers into solar water heaters in the rain, or gathering peat on the windy moors or salty bogs to warm their wee hearths!

i wish i could be sure that this cycle will not rpeat itself ad infinitum, seems people are historically always  suckers for a get-rich-quick scheme, the great free lunch in the sky...

maybe we'll write an epic saga so spielbergian, so wagnerian it will be chanted for millennia around our mugs of lichen tea as we huddle cosily in our igloos, barding and quothing and quaffing away:

"beware of the silver-tongued economists, with their smooth come-ons, rolex watches and pretty, pretty lies.

when they whisper sweet nuthins about how they'd like to mortgage your mother and privatise your ass, tell 'em to take a long hike on a short glacier, and come back when they get a clue."

it's the LORE, adapt or migrate!

~"When an inner situation is not made conscious, it appears outside as fate." Karl Jung~

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Sat Oct 25th, 2008 at 07:38:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]
...melo...that was an absolutely bloody brilliant comment.

An ET classic.

melo:

maybe we'll write an epic saga so spielbergian, so wagnerian it will be chanted for millennia around our mugs of lichen tea as we huddle cosily in our igloos, barding and quothing and quaffing away:

Lichen tea....priceless....

melo:

when they whisper sweet nuthins about how they'd like to mortgage your mother and privatise your ass, tell 'em to take a long hike on a short glacier, and come back when they get a clue."

a long hike on a short glacier...

I almost choked on my croissant....

"Any economic unit can emit money. The serious problem is to get it accepted" Hyman Minsky

by ChrisCook (cojockathotmaildotcom) on Sun Oct 26th, 2008 at 06:17:38 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Nice.

Capitalism searches out the darkest corners of human potential, and mainlines them.
by geezer in Paris (risico at wanadoo(flypoop)fr) on Sun Oct 26th, 2008 at 01:13:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Turn down the light
Turn down the bed
Turn down these voices
inside my head,

Lay down with me
Tell me no lies
Just hold me close-
Don't patronise

------Don't patronise.

-Bonnie Raitt

From another Bonnie Raitt fan.

Capitalism searches out the darkest corners of human potential, and mainlines them.

by geezer in Paris (risico at wanadoo(flypoop)fr) on Sun Oct 26th, 2008 at 01:34:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]
she always found such grown-up lyricists, such taste and grit in her playing and singing.

my heroine...

the person i would most like to meet and jam with.

bar none

~"When an inner situation is not made conscious, it appears outside as fate." Karl Jung~

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Sun Oct 26th, 2008 at 07:30:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]
It was fun jamming with her the one time I did, a long time ago in a galaxy far far away.  Memory fades; we were all pretty loaded that night.
by rifek on Tue Oct 28th, 2008 at 02:28:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]
the closest i got was a jam with freebo at a texas songwriters' festival, and i wasn't half near loaded enough...

what were you playing?

if you remember...

:)

~"When an inner situation is not made conscious, it appears outside as fate." Karl Jung~

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Tue Oct 28th, 2008 at 08:05:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]
In my village the vampires will not be allowed to move on, although they will be allowed to take a walk, to die with their guts wrapped around a standing stone, sacrificed to wiser gods than the ones that have overseen the current fiasco.  Ooo, I feel myself sinking into the sagas.
by rifek on Tue Oct 28th, 2008 at 02:00:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Don't have small, resource-poor countries. Seriously. There's no inherent reason why countries are the size they are and why borders are located where they are - those are both political parameters that can be shuffled by political decisions.

If it is, for technical reasons, impossible to maintain what any given day and age would consider a prosperous society in a certain geographic area, the obvious solution is to either transfer wealth from areas that are more hospitable to the development of what is considered a prosperous society, or transfer people the other way.

I'll assume that forced transfer of people is out of the question, but there is little reason in principle that voluntary movements should be discouraged (although there may be practical barriers that need to be overcome, such as language differences or issues related to labour rights). Bulk transfer of wealth to poor districts is a routine part of what states do.

As an aside, it's sometimes the case that the borders themselves, rather than geography are the problem - witness the fact that free cities were ubiquitous during the Hanseatic Era, existed where conditions were favourable during the Middle Ages but declined sharply from the Renaissance onward.

- Jake

If you only spend 20 minutes of the rest of your life on economics, go spend them here.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Sat Oct 25th, 2008 at 01:52:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The problem with these discussions is figuring out precisely what is an economics of the left and what exactly is free market capitalism. Too often, we resort to old bromides about communism and capitalism.

That's the discussion in the general public, anyway.

But if we're limiting the discussion to more regulation of a capitalistic system versus less regulation, then it seems the most prudent course is to avoid wild swings in the economy which displace and disrupt the lives of working people, and indeed families.

Otherwise, a nation such as Iceland--with few resources for export--is living on vapor anyway.

Surely, between nationalizing fisheries and gov't completely abandoning education and health care, there is a space for rational capitalism.

Older economists (and I'm thinking of my professors who were already 80 years old in the 1980s) used to say that every 30 years or so, imbalances happen and that's when the wealth needs to be redistributed. The irony, I believe, is that people like Friedman understand this. They understand that there is no pure concept of freedom that would see wealth freely accumulate at the highest echelons, whereas the mid-to-lower ranks become progressively poorer. I'm not sure that Friedman, within a capitalist context, would describe this as Friedman.

What's left unsaid, however, in a free market capitalist model is that, even though we recognize that huge wealth imbalances are completely unhealthy for capitalism, they will happen, because people are greedy. Of what benefit is it for an uber-wealthy capitalist to redistribute his own wealth when all the other rich guys are still accumulating?

Greed is the default failure of the free-market system.

by Upstate NY on Sat Oct 25th, 2008 at 10:58:13 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, the problem with the "economics of the right" is that building a financial bubble to produce "growth" results in a bad crash, in this case as bad as having the country as a whole default on foreign obligations.

It remains to be seen what the GDP of Iceland will be when thing settle down - maybe the cycle-average growth rate won't be anything to write home about.

A vivid image of what should exist acts as a surrogate for reality. Pursuit of the image then prevents pursuit of the reality -- John K. Galbraith

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sat Oct 25th, 2008 at 11:44:33 AM EST
[ Parent ]
There are 3 large aluminum smelters in Iceland, one more just built, and more planned. Aluminum has a 37% share of Iceland's exports.

Smelting is very very energy intensive. Hence bauxite by bulk carrier to Iceland to smelter ports, free electricity (more or less), and then ingots exported.

You can't be me, I'm taken

by Sven Triloqvist on Sat Oct 25th, 2008 at 12:36:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Metatone:
One of the problems I see in Iceland which I think is an urgent problem for "an economics of the left" or "heterodox economics" to consider is... how can a place like Iceland grow?

Culture, art and innovation. People like culture and art and are willing to spend huge sums on them. Encouraging them a little, creating new market models for both art and innovation, and moving the centre of gravity of the economy away from meaningless financial bullshit towards 'service' products that actually service people could do something interesting.

Markets and distribution methods are potentially global now, so as long as there's decent bandwidth there's no reason any country in the world should be left out.

Yes, this would lead to some extent to the creation of self-funding funny money. But that's what happens already anyway. The only difference now is that people believe - or used to believe - that their money, and its managers, were Very Serious™.

That's about to change, and something low maintenance but productive needs to take its place.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Sat Oct 25th, 2008 at 08:46:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]
culture, art and innovation, yes indeedy...

great comment, top to toe...

~"When an inner situation is not made conscious, it appears outside as fate." Karl Jung~

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Sat Oct 25th, 2008 at 09:18:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Iceland started its financial ball rolling because it had massive savings accumulated over decades.  Instead of maintaining that discipline and the highly livable society it supported, though, it succumbed to Friedman's tent show, which said, "Cut out that nonsense and live like Americans" (i.e. don't pay for a safety net, allow destructive concentrations of wealth, externalize your costs on the rest of the world, leverage every dime of every asset you have to pay for your lifestyle), which was the same snake oil they sold to the entire world, even though they knew we would need a dozen vacant Earths available for us to plunder to pull that off.  I wish I believed in Hell so I could believe Friedman was frying there for eternity.
by rifek on Sat Oct 25th, 2008 at 09:35:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Metatone:
Fish and wool are just not the engines of wealth-bringing trade at this moment. The green (thermal) power makes life in Iceland more sustainable, but it's not something you can export.

Well, the latter is wrong on many levels. If the EU keeps clinging to its mistaken model of a hydrogen economy, then there's a lot of that for Iceland to export in the future. More plausibly, they can export the technology, processes, services and machine tools they use to get geothermal power.

Germany is making a lot of money from its 'green' technology right now (which goes from wind turbines to scrubbers to integrated production processes). Vestas is a huge company in the context of a small country like Denmark.

If Iceland stops drowning huge swathes of its natural reserves for large hydro to power aluminium smelters, it might conceivably drive up tourism by improving its green reputation.

See also this earlier discussion.

by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Sun Oct 26th, 2008 at 09:28:45 AM EST
[ Parent ]
are one of the easiest ways to export your energy resource. Aluminum is essentially energy in metal form.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Sun Oct 26th, 2008 at 04:50:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Somehow mining bauxite on one end of the earth to transport it to a remote location like Iceland where it is smelted only to be exported to yet another part of the world doesn't seem like the best model. Aside of the fact that Iceland doesn't use it's 'energy resource' for this, it is creating new energy sources in the form of large hydro at the cost of its natural capital, because nothing else is cheap and reliable enough. As Iceland has to compete with low cost countries who subsidise their energy, these smelters will never provide large scale, well-paying employment for Iceland's population. The country is planning to import the workers to fill most of the positions, probably from Eastern Europe. Not to mention the dependence Iceland is building into its current account balance on the price of aluminium, which is collapsing at this time.

Fortunately, the financial crisis seems to have had a dampening effect on this insanity.

by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Mon Oct 27th, 2008 at 08:12:40 AM EST
[ Parent ]
So, if you import the aluminum and the labour, who reps the benefits of this?

A vivid image of what should exist acts as a surrogate for reality. Pursuit of the image then prevents pursuit of the reality -- John K. Galbraith
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Oct 27th, 2008 at 08:26:34 AM EST
[ Parent ]
See also This thread. It wanders off from Iceland to a discussion of "free trade" between myself and starvid, who has a moment of enlightenment in the course of it :-)

A vivid image of what should exist acts as a surrogate for reality. Pursuit of the image then prevents pursuit of the reality -- John K. Galbraith
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Oct 27th, 2008 at 08:29:46 AM EST
[ Parent ]
That was a good thread.

Just to bug Starvid, the Audi A2 (in what was one of the stupidest decisions yet by Audi) has of course been discontinued. Was already discontinued at that time!

by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Mon Oct 27th, 2008 at 09:36:05 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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