Existing populist parties need to consolidate to get second chances, I think. Or some may join socialdemocrats.
Some voter loyalty is visible, as core sympathies and antipathies towards the two main parties are well defined. Conservatives typically win with low voter turnout, meaning that they do not really gather much extra support, rahter enough "leftish" voters stay home. On the other turn, Homeland Union probably failed in 2000 for a similar silent reason.
Among problems of Lithuania, they point out to:
GDP slowdown; high inflation; high energy prices; high social differentiation;
Am I misinterpreting, or is this a partial sign of the failure of the centre-left to address inequalities?