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The negligible risk of default - and the fact that the credit is backed by the merchandise itself - is what makes this crisis so strange.

Yup.  This is the reason I'm breaking out the old tinfoil hat and thinking it's an International Plot to achieve some dastardly end.

Just because you're paranoid that doesn't mean they aren't out to get you!

On a more 'normal' level, the rapid price fluctuations in the commodities markets will create uncertainties and increased risk wrt the value of the goods being shipped.  Against that is the low cost of moving the goods from port A to port B and the fact nobody is going to load a shipload of wheat until they have a buyer already lined-up.

And, realistically, the players in these markets have long standing relationships.

A puzzlement.

by ATinNM on Sat Nov 1st, 2008 at 12:57:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Metatone suggested [private communication] that maybe banks don't have the money to advance to exporters for a few days or weeks while they wait for delivery and use the credit crunch as an excuse. Blame the other bank instead of yourself for not having any cash around.

A vivid image of what should exist acts as a surrogate for reality. Pursuit of the image then prevents pursuit of the reality -- John K. Galbraith
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sat Nov 1st, 2008 at 01:01:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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