As de Long says.. yoa hve to move a lto of peopel from construction to "other" jobs.. if the dollar does nto fall, there are no other "new jobs" int he scale and amgnitude required...then it is great depression.. but really great depression...
if thsoe jobs exist and the governemnt provides the credit it will be a recession or tough recession...but if the jobs do not exist... big trouble..
A pleasure I therefore claim to show, not how men think in myths, but how myths operate in men's minds without their being aware of the fact. Levi-Strauss, Claude
Wealth = Cash to buy stuff with
People don't cognize bridges, waterways, roads, public spaces, dams, electrical power lines, the rule of law, reservoirs, national forests, national parks, public order, and public health as wealth.
And that's just the government; private sector wealth dwarfs it by some (unknown to me) order of magnitude.
Some people would say that citizen Capet was beheaded on Moss Day, Duodi Pluviose, Year I :) -- $E(X_t|F_s) = X_s,\quad t > s$