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As to the euro, I would not worry about its rate to the dollar in the short term: this is driven to a large extent by the fact that European banks do a lot of business in dollars, and are currently unable to borrow such dollars on the interbank market, and thus simply have to actually buy them, thus propping the dollar up.

Remember this?

Bloomberg: U.S. Fed Agrees to $30 Billion Swap With Four Central Banks (September 24)

The U.S. Federal Reserve agreed to channel $30 billion into the global financial system by opening currency swap lines with central banks in Norway, Sweden, Denmark and Australia.

The Fed set up the currency exchange to address ``elevated pressures'' in dollar funding in markets, the Board of Governors said today in a statement.

The U.S. is broadening its effort to revive confidence in markets as concern mounts that a $700 billion plan to rescue the banking system may face delays in Congress. The Fed last week expanded its swap lines with the European Central Bank and Swiss National Bank by $70 billion, and created $110 billion in new facilities with central banks in Japan, the U.K. and Canada.

Small countries such as Norway run their domestic interbank market in US dollars which is causing them no small headaches right now.


A vivid image of what should exist acts as a surrogate for reality. Pursuit of the image then prevents pursuit of the reality -- John K. Galbraith
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Oct 6th, 2008 at 07:39:51 AM EST
That explains clearly why the Norwegian currency has perversely declined against the Dollar when it is in fact backed massively by Norwegian oil and gas etc etc

"Any economic unit can emit money. The serious problem is to get it accepted" Hyman Minsky
by ChrisCook (cojockathotmaildotcom) on Mon Oct 6th, 2008 at 07:48:14 AM EST
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