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If we are to believe the most recent narrative, the problem is no longer one of liquidity or insolvency, it all has to do with confidence or the lack of it. The banks are swimming in cash but don't trust each other. At least that's what I'm hearing and reading a lot. Well, I can only guess that they don't trust each other because each one individually knows how rotten their books are, how  much they've lied, how much they're keeping up appearances, that is, in the circumstances they wouldn't trust themselves. So eveyone's playing the confidence game, i.e., con game, a swindle by making false promises. A big part of this con game is to enforce the narrative that confidence is lacking and causing mayhem. The collapse isn't the result of thievery, swindle, deceit and unsustainable expectations: it's the result of a lack of confidence, as at the height of the internet mania everything was a matter of perception. All this has everything to do with virtual money and wealth. 'Go shopping!' (psst, with your credit card). Remember that jewel. I find it odd that we haven't heard much from either Italy (euro basketcase number one or two, with Ireland?) or Spain (bursting housing bubble; okay, now guaranteed savings).
by Quentin on Wed Oct 8th, 2008 at 06:52:28 AM EST
... solvency crisis. As Jerome has pointed out time and again, banks with liquid funds to lend look at their books, say to themselves, "if our books look this bad and we are able to lend, what must the books of the borrowing bank look like", and stop treating overnight lending of reserves to fellow commercial banks as the next best thing to lending to the reserve bank.

And add to it that the banks that know that they are approaching insolvency, and may need the liquidity to try to avoid having anyone go through their balance sheet while they wait on more income to come in to rebuild their book ... where lending to a bank that then goes belly up could really put them in the shit ...

... and there is a kink in the normal flow of liquidity back and forth through the system.


I've been accused of being a Marxist, yet while Harpo's my favourite, it's Groucho I'm always quoting. Odd, that.

by BruceMcF (agila61 at netscape dot net) on Wed Oct 8th, 2008 at 02:31:10 PM EST
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