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Can someone explain how the "trend" in this image follows from the actual data points?

Also note that according to the IMF projections in their World Economic Outlook, growth is supposed to pick up in no time while oil prices and food prices are supposed to keep dropping.

The road of excess leads to the palace of wisdom - William Blake

by talos (mihalis at gmail dot com) on Wed Oct 8th, 2008 at 11:17:39 AM EST
The trend is too god for mere GDP numbers. Is it just me or are they claiming that gdp growth will increase this year compared to last? Now that is a courageous estimate.
by Trond Ove on Wed Oct 8th, 2008 at 11:27:52 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I'd assume it's some kind of rolling average, and the low columns gradually rising lead to that effect.

Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Wed Oct 8th, 2008 at 12:03:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Yes but is a linear (not even that) trend meaningful in this case?
Anyway the actual imf publication explains the trend pattern thus:
Average growth rates for individual countries, aggregated using PPP weights; the aggregates shift over time in favor of faster-growing economies, giving the line an upward trend.


The road of excess leads to the palace of wisdom - William Blake
by talos (mihalis at gmail dot com) on Wed Oct 8th, 2008 at 12:33:33 PM EST
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