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Those bets for $200/oil look very premature.

The down move in oil consumption may rival the early 80s.  That will pressure OPEC for quite a while especially as just like in the late 70s/early 80s there are a bunch of upstream projects in the pipeline that will deliver crude regardless of price.  The investment is sunk and variable costs are no where near $50/bbl.

Dave O'Reilly of Chevron claimed they will increase production by 5% in 2009.  If he's not full of it, that means they'll overcome declines for the first time in yonks.

by HiD on Thu Nov 13th, 2008 at 04:55:23 AM EST

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