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Obama's win will widen out to about 7 points in the end, I'd guess.  That's not narrow at all looking at recent history, and 53% is the largest majority taken by a non-incumbent since Eisenhower.  We'd all love a ten-point win, but that was never realistic, and a seven-point win is very respectable, especially when the candidate is a black guy with a name that probably strikes most Americans as vaguely Muslim.

2016?  Who knows?  Assuming for the sake of simplicity that Obama wins a second term, I'd guess Bobby Jindal would be an obvious contender.  I don't like his chances, honestly, since he's both Indian and Catholic (brown + wrongcult != GOPnominee) in a party that is almost entirely white and Evangelical.  Imagine Alan Keyes and Mitt Romney all rolled into one, and then add exorcisms to his resume.

WHEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!

by Drew J Jones (blahblahblah@blahblahblah.com) on Tue Nov 18th, 2008 at 11:21:42 AM EST
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