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I don't know the demographics of France well enough to go into too much detail there....

...adding: More importantly, I don't know the dynamics -- political and otherwise -- either, but I'd suspect they're similar to other countries.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Fri Nov 21st, 2008 at 05:12:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Last year, Royal has been quite good at mobilizing the younger part of the electorate.

What carried the election to Sarko was basically the over-65 demographics.

Europeans think a hundred miles is a long way. Americans think a hundred years is a long time.

by Bernard on Fri Nov 21st, 2008 at 05:21:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]
What carried the election to Sarko was basically the over-65 demographics.

Interesting.  Can it be drilled down to a couple of basic reasons?

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Fri Nov 21st, 2008 at 05:36:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Arabs will rape your daughter and steal your son's job?

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Fri Nov 21st, 2008 at 05:40:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]
this, plus the "this woman is incompetent" theme that has been drilled down by the media all along the campaign (emphasis: woman, incompetent).

Europeans think a hundred miles is a long way. Americans think a hundred years is a long time.
by Bernard on Fri Nov 21st, 2008 at 05:43:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Yeah, that I definitely remember.  Sarko struck me as a misogynistic and condescending little shit in their debate.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Fri Nov 21st, 2008 at 05:48:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Many in the PS were of the same opinion, as I remember. Very easy to position oneself as a victim of mysoginy to counter any kind of criticism, more or less of substance.

Free at last! Free at last! Thank God Almighty, we are free at last! (Martin Luther King)
by ValentinD (walentijn arobase free spot frança) on Sat Nov 22nd, 2008 at 06:31:33 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Absolutely: the backstabbing began at the PS.

Europeans think a hundred miles is a long way. Americans think a hundred years is a long time.
by Bernard on Sat Nov 22nd, 2008 at 07:35:58 AM EST
[ Parent ]
"Many in the PS were of the same opinion"

True, but by any measure she was not nearly as incompetent as Sarko (whose results as minister were invariably appalling, and who was pushing for policies right out of the George W Bush book, probably the modern yardstick of incompetence). Yet somehow the media was never pointing out things like "this man is a clown". Strange.

Earth provides enough to satisfy every man's need, but not every man's greed. Gandhi

by Cyrille (cyrillev domain yahoo.fr) on Sat Nov 22nd, 2008 at 09:07:57 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The point was not Sarko, but that it was not only the right, but also half the left (if not more) who thought Royal incompentent, Eva Péron-like populist, and lacking statemanship - if I remember well, even few remarkable PS women thought that.

Free at last! Free at last! Thank God Almighty, we are free at last! (Martin Luther King)
by ValentinD (walentijn arobase free spot frança) on Sat Nov 22nd, 2008 at 08:17:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Bernard pointed out that the meme was spread by the media. The meme that Sarkozy was among the one million least competent people in France for the role of president, was never mentioned. Despite at least half the right thinking so as well.

So it is quite relevant. The media were incredibly biased in that respect, to the point of presenting Sarko's ministry tenures (which werein fact major failures) as strong points, as proof of competence. Again, despite having most of his own camp feeling he was rubbish.

It's well known that today, should the votes be anonymous, Sarko would not even have a majority within the UMP parliementary group.

Let alone in the Assemblée itself...

Earth provides enough to satisfy every man's need, but not every man's greed. Gandhi

by Cyrille (cyrillev domain yahoo.fr) on Sun Nov 23rd, 2008 at 03:10:41 AM EST
[ Parent ]
But I was commenting Royal and the way she was treated, not Sarkozy. I don't see what Sarkozy, his "competence", his rubish-ness, his majority, or the Parliament have to do in all this - besides the fact that you seem to have a very clear and solid opinion on him - which is perfectly your right :)

You're a perfect illustration for my ideology diary, if you don't mind: not one sentence without heavy political bias. You seem to breathe contestation - of the media, of elections, of the elected parliament.

In such cases I tend to say: well get ready to spend 9 more years in this dire mood.

But it would be a provocation.
What do I care that you're such a leftwing supporter and Royal fan. I don't even care if Sarko gets re-elected (or indeed will be a candidate 4 years from now).

But forget Sarko. Just a question: could you even conceive Mme. Royal might not be that good, do you allow for even a tiny bit of doubt?
Or is it more like, we're all little soldiers ready to die for the Chief?


Free at last! Free at last! Thank God Almighty, we are free at last! (Martin Luther King)

by ValentinD (walentijn arobase free spot frança) on Sun Nov 23rd, 2008 at 01:41:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Given that Cyrille was openly a Modem supporter and not a Royal supporter, your comments are, shall we say, a case of projection?

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Sun Nov 23rd, 2008 at 04:44:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]
So Le Pen, for all practical purposes.  How'd she respond?

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Fri Nov 21st, 2008 at 05:55:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The main TV channel is owned by a personal buddy of Sarkozy, and has been happy to drum in Sarkozy's scaremongering-but-don't-worry-I'm-tough message, the other TV channels are state-owned, and government-intimidated, and the major media groups are owned by other friends of Sarkozy.

Any other questions?

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Fri Nov 21st, 2008 at 06:32:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, sure, and that makes it harder, but find me a party on The LeftTM that doesn't have to compete with a news media that clearly sits right-of-center in western countries.  That's why the Intertubez are so important.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Fri Nov 21st, 2008 at 10:03:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]
...and that's why developing them here in Europe as well is so crucial.

Europeans think a hundred miles is a long way. Americans think a hundred years is a long time.
by Bernard on Sat Nov 22nd, 2008 at 04:05:35 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Come to Sweden my friend. Our media is like a caricature of the so called "liberal media" in the US. They're just like Fox News except leftists and because of their incestous segregation incredibly detached from the majority view of pretty much everything.

Like Fox News, except they actually believe they are "fair and balanced".

So take a guess, do you think the Swedish left or right is most interested in the Intertubes? Yeah, that's right.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.

by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Mon Nov 24th, 2008 at 02:45:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]
So just like in Italy... Or Sweden... or... Hell, does anyone have a good hold on how we should make media work?

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Mon Nov 24th, 2008 at 02:41:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Followed the campaign quite closely yet never saw anything inciting to xenophobia or racial hatred, could you be more specific, perhaps ?

(unless Sarko hating is such fundamental value over here that this needs no more proof whatsoever)

Free at last! Free at last! Thank God Almighty, we are free at last! (Martin Luther King)

by ValentinD (walentijn arobase free spot frança) on Sat Nov 22nd, 2008 at 06:28:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Gaudin (UMP mayor of Marseilles)


« Beaucoup d'électeurs FN ont constaté que Nicolas Sarkozy disait les mêmes choses que Le Pen, mais que lui avait une chance de les mettre un jour en application. Ils ont donc voté utile. Parce qu'ils ont cessé de croire à l'accession de Le Pen au pouvoir » ( cité dans Le Canard enchaîné du 25 Avril 2007).

See this about his rally in Toulon in February 2007:


Lors de son meeting de Toulon, mercredi 7 février 2007, Nicolas Sarkozy a choisi des mots et des thèmes adaptés à une partie de la population locale. Il a continué à s'adresser aux électeurs du FN [1], distillant des messages pleins d'ambiguïté sur les immigrés qui « ne sont pas les bienvenus sur le territoire de la République » s'ils n'en respectent pas toutes les règles, avant de marquer son opposition à l'entrée de la Turquie dans l'Union Européenne.

A quatorze reprises, il a lancé des anathèmes en commençant ses phrases par ce mot d'ordre : « Ça ne peut plus durer ! » désignant à la vindicte populaire « petit voyou et patron voyou », « multirécidivistes », « l'assisté qui gagne plus que le travailleur » [2].

And did you not follow how much the news were focused on security, law and order, kicking the immigrants out and putting the "lazy" back to work? But presumably it is 'ideological' to point out that there are hard-right favorites?

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Sat Nov 22nd, 2008 at 06:38:18 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Compared to Le Pen, Sarko knew how to hang on to an argumented line. He spoke about immigrants in the context of law trespassing, if I can put it so. Or in a society based on the rule of law, who can contest that laws must be observed. Then of course there are ways and ways to say that, which can absolutely not be summed up like you did, "arabs that rape our daughters". That's an appalling exaggeration. It's absolutely shocking that someone can say that - unless speaking from Sarko hatred. This is just like those people in the US convinced that Obama is an arab, a muslim, and a terrorist.

Secondly, what you don't realize is how many people are indignated against lack of fairness in dealing with unemployment ("unemployed are always right", says the PC Bible, because they are victims, and victims always are), in dealing with immigrants (an immigrant is necessarily a sort of asilum seeker, he doesn't need to obey the law, respect the host country or the locals - I speak about respect, not submission, not abandoning one's identity).
And so on. This gets a wide range of people indignated and they vote right. The left should be careful about picking its favourite categories and exclude others, or else they will continue to lose nation wide elections.

As to your quotation from Canard Enchaine, there was a documentary on France2 about their hard left leaning, or the absence of it. The conclusion was that yes.

Free at last! Free at last! Thank God Almighty, we are free at last! (Martin Luther King)

by ValentinD (walentijn arobase free spot frança) on Sat Nov 22nd, 2008 at 07:02:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Do you know that political expression? Look it up.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Sat Nov 22nd, 2008 at 09:14:55 AM EST
[ Parent ]
calling Le Canard Enchainé "extreme left" does not make the facts they report false - or do you claim that they are factually incorrect? Lots of people have claimed that, gone to court, and lost.

I only reported a uote by Gaudin. Criticizing the messenger is not an adequate argument.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Sat Nov 22nd, 2008 at 09:17:05 AM EST
[ Parent ]
making any criticism of Sarkozy "Sarko hatred" is rather dismissive and narrow-minded, especially wen I provide fat to back my arguments and you don't.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Sat Nov 22nd, 2008 at 09:18:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]
And even if it were so, it would be acquired hatred.

Yes, you could say I hate him. Because he promotes the fear and hatred of the others, because he made a mockery of the rule of law, because his policies are abominably clientelist (to the point where I think we have to call it corruption) and so on. Certainly not because I had anything against him ex ante.

Sometimes, hatred is the sensible reaction.

Earth provides enough to satisfy every man's need, but not every man's greed. Gandhi

by Cyrille (cyrillev domain yahoo.fr) on Sat Nov 22nd, 2008 at 09:26:48 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I was ready to discuss that, but when you start by saying he promotes fear and hatred, you're already biased.

This is a symptom of the mind-boggling polarisation of the political life in France.

If Sarkozy calmed things down on his side, the left remains in the same extremist stance.
If you claim that someone won by saying "arabs will rape your daughter", this claim is so extremist that blocks all possible dialogue.
This attitude can be seen all over the French Left today. Their whole problem is how to gather their forces to FIGHT SARKOZY and to FIGHT THE RIGHT. It's almost like a crusade.

What you don't realize is that people are getting fed up with constant "extremisation", they prefer politicians who deal with issues and speak about France, not about adversaries, not vilifying them.
So I repeat: more lost elections are about to come, as long as you guys continue to see the world in Black (the others) and White (Us) and focus on Battles against the Demon.

Free at last! Free at last! Thank God Almighty, we are free at last! (Martin Luther King)

by ValentinD (walentijn arobase free spot frança) on Sun Nov 23rd, 2008 at 02:13:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]
so you're Black. What are you doing on our White blog, then? Trolling?

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Sun Nov 23rd, 2008 at 04:45:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I'm starting to wonder the same thing.

Europeans think a hundred miles is a long way. Americans think a hundred years is a long time.
by Bernard on Sun Nov 23rd, 2008 at 05:27:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Is this blog only for people to spill out their buckets about the evil right? :)

Speaking for more reason and against blind faith could actually appear a bit like trolling, I suppose. What can I say, then... sorry to bother you in your comfort zone, I guess.


Free at last! Free at last! Thank God Almighty, we are free at last! (Martin Luther King)

by ValentinD (walentijn arobase free spot frança) on Sun Nov 23rd, 2008 at 05:59:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I give arguments, you give invective. Feel free to continue, I will ignore you if you don't post substantive comments.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Sun Nov 23rd, 2008 at 06:08:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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