-Up 1 in Montana -Up 1 in North Carolina -Up 1 in Indiana -Up 1 in Missouri -Up 4 in Nevada -Up 6 in Virginia -Up 10 in Colorado -Up 17 in New Mexico -Only down 2 in Georgia
If Obama's ground game is as good as we've been led to believe, these may all go blue tomorrow. That'd be 393 with North Dakota and Arizona to be decided. Dare to dream? Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
Gah-damn
10,000 volunteers?
175 staging areas???
In a state Obama wasn't supposed to be competitive???????
Unless they were too. That's possible. Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
I sure didn't.
McCain 48 Obama 47
Sez they:
McCain will win Georgia if the African-American turnout is less than 32 percent of the overall vote and if Obama's percentage of the white vote is 26 percent or less. If the turnout for African-Americans is at or above 32 percent or if Obama carries, say, 28 percent of the white vote, then Obama wins. So this will be a nip-and-tuck race. It will not be a 7-point blow out.
That's precisely my math. Every last digit. I have Obama coming in at 28% white support with a 31/32% black share. The Mother of All Upsets. Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
Mine's probably too high. But I'll happily take 270. Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
I think the Obama ground game is going to out do the polling. A good GOTV always does.
Which actually works out to 379 now that I tot it up using ARG's calculator.
In the second tier: Indiana, Montana, North Dakota giving 396.
Should things get really intense we might see: Texas, Lousiana, and South Carolina for 447. And that, methinks, is where Obama tops out.
I have Obama topping out at 406. 447, perhaps, if black folks held at a similar pace in "Loozianna" to Georgia, and if Obama took 80% of Latinos. Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
Finally I decided what with the entrenched GOP, the early closing time, and it did go for Bush by 20 points in '04 I couldn't see it flipping.
I could have given time if I thought it was okay, Darcy Burner could have done with a bit of help. keep to the Fen Causeway
Could be useful or harmful, depending on the district.
What are the margins in FL, OH and PA?
A clean sweep would be very tough. Doable but very tough. Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
