10,000 volunteers?
175 staging areas???
In a state Obama wasn't supposed to be competitive???????
Unless they were too. That's possible. Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
I sure didn't.
McCain 48 Obama 47
Sez they:
McCain will win Georgia if the African-American turnout is less than 32 percent of the overall vote and if Obama's percentage of the white vote is 26 percent or less. If the turnout for African-Americans is at or above 32 percent or if Obama carries, say, 28 percent of the white vote, then Obama wins. So this will be a nip-and-tuck race. It will not be a 7-point blow out.
That's precisely my math. Every last digit. I have Obama coming in at 28% white support with a 31/32% black share. The Mother of All Upsets. Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
Mine's probably too high. But I'll happily take 270. Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
I think the Obama ground game is going to out do the polling. A good GOTV always does.
Which actually works out to 379 now that I tot it up using ARG's calculator.
In the second tier: Indiana, Montana, North Dakota giving 396.
Should things get really intense we might see: Texas, Lousiana, and South Carolina for 447. And that, methinks, is where Obama tops out.
I have Obama topping out at 406. 447, perhaps, if black folks held at a similar pace in "Loozianna" to Georgia, and if Obama took 80% of Latinos. Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
Finally I decided what with the entrenched GOP, the early closing time, and it did go for Bush by 20 points in '04 I couldn't see it flipping.