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378?  What states?

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Mon Nov 3rd, 2008 at 09:15:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The Kerry States plus Iowa, New Mexico, Colorado, Georgia, Ohio, Florida, Virginia, North Carolina, Nevada, and Missouri.

Which actually works out to 379 now that I tot it up using ARG's calculator.

In the second tier: Indiana, Montana, North Dakota giving 396.

Should things get really intense we might see: Texas, Lousiana, and South Carolina for 447.  And that, methinks, is where Obama tops out.  

by ATinNM on Mon Nov 3rd, 2008 at 10:14:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Arizona in the second tier as well, I assume?

I have Obama topping out at 406.  447, perhaps, if black folks held at a similar pace in "Loozianna" to Georgia, and if Obama took 80% of Latinos.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Mon Nov 3rd, 2008 at 10:19:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Think it is going to be "Close but no cigar" in Arizona.  Obama jumped in too late to pull it out.
by ATinNM on Tue Nov 4th, 2008 at 12:20:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Your math is the same as mine, except I've got Indiana rather than Missouri.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Mon Nov 3rd, 2008 at 10:21:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Thought about Indiana.

Finally I decided what with the entrenched GOP, the early closing time, and it did go for Bush by 20 points in '04 I couldn't see it flipping.

by ATinNM on Tue Nov 4th, 2008 at 12:28:50 AM EST
[ Parent ]
And, like nanne, you're probably right.  I recognize the facts point to Missouri rather than Indiana, but, as the great Ronald Reagan once said, "Facts are stupid things." ;)

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Tue Nov 4th, 2008 at 08:44:59 AM EST
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