I never bought it, frankly, but as you know I'm not a big believer in the Bradley Effect (which is basically what the pundits were predicting). I thought the demographics said they'd break with a slight McCain lean, but nothing incredible, and a break for Obama is hardly out of the question. Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
Also during the sacrifice birds were seen flying from the East to the West.
What else does one need?
Beltway CW sez McCain gets a 70/30 split of undecideds.
No way. Nonsense.
I'll your 55/45 Obama/McCain projection. Obama has out hustled McCain in every single state he's entered. That's what gets the Undecideds.
Also worth noting: undecideds sometimes, who knows how often, say they are undecided for weird personal reasons: the need for attention, the desire for people to leave them alone, the paranoia that their neighbors will find out. They may very well know who they are voting for. "Pretending that you already know the answer when you don't is not actually very helpful." ~Migeru.
I don't agree.
The Dems have too many structural advantages. Or it could be put the GOP has too many disadvantages. These advantages and Obama's GOTV is teh awesome and something the country has never seen.
Ever.
Could I be wrong? Of course.
But the ground operation is critical for getting 'your' Undecideds to the polls as, by definition, these voters are low-information, low-enthusiasm, and loosely attached to the process. The CW is based on previous elections where the GOP had the superior ground game.
Stick with me kid and you'll be wearing horse poop as big as diamonds.
I am older, thus wiser, than you.
Hey, I whomped you on Iowa. Now if you'll please toss my nerf football back into my yard, that'd be swell. ;) Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
Seriously, I've learned a lot from your posts. Thank you.
What we can state with confidence is the McCain campaign has a severely broken GOTV operation which means Obama DOES have a major structure advantage in the attempt to carry this group.