Who knows when. What I noted is that Koch learnt something: he didn't rush before the cameras to gloat, apparently realising by now that there can be a public perception blowback. So the CDU is NOT pushing hard for new elections, and is suggesting more talks (which are to be talks to nowhere).
Now it all depends on the Greens. *Lunatic*, n. One whose delusions are out of fashion.
Now that both the FDP and the Greens have said that they want new elections, the CDU only needs to go along (and seems open to it). I think it's unavoidable at this point and Ypsilanti will also back it, perhaps postponing the decision a bit to let the election take place in early February.
More here.
I did suspect your math is wrong somewhere :-)
What remains to be seen is whether the Greens would vote for new elections without the SPD or not. I think that would say a lot about the future (for example, the viability of the hitherho unthinkable black-Green with Koch). *Lunatic*, n. One whose delusions are out of fashion.
Then again, he does so noting that Koch again "did it": he declared that "now the way is open again for highway and airport expansions", which is no way to get Greens into a Jamaica coalition [ = CDU + FDP + Greens]. *Lunatic*, n. One whose delusions are out of fashion.
