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Credit-card industry may cut $2 trillion lines: analyst | U.S. | Reuters

(Reuters) - The U.S. credit-card industry may pull back well over $2 trillion of lines over the next 18 months due to risk aversion and regulatory changes, leading to sharp declines in consumer spending, prominent banking analyst Meredith Whitney said.

The credit card is the second key source of consumer liquidity, the first being jobs, the Oppenheimer & Co analyst noted.

"In other words, we expect available consumer liquidity in the form of credit-card lines to decline by 45 percent."

Bank of America Corp (BAC.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz), Citigroup Inc (C.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) and JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) represent over half of the estimated U.S. card outstandings as of September 30, and each company has discussed reducing card exposure or slowing growth, Whitney said.

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Tue Dec 2nd, 2008 at 03:10:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]
How bizarre to see credit cards being listed as a contribution to consumer liquidity.

What this really means is that the 'liquidity' is going to bankrupt a good proportion of the population when it suddenly has to be repaid on demand.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Tue Dec 2nd, 2008 at 07:12:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]
True. Though I suspect for way too many people "liquidity" also means "not enough cash for groceries in the last week of the month".

The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Dec 3rd, 2008 at 03:29:15 AM EST
[ Parent ]
One is certain that the 'credit counselors' badgering calling from India will be very compassionate when handling such cases. Perhaps if they see that the cashier is pushing through Basmati rice and India-based web hosting services, they can be encouraged to look the other way.

"Yes, Mr. Jones. We can see that you are financing your start-up with our card. But you are paying too much for programming services. Perhaps if you spoke to my college Mr. Smith, he could arrange for the php cake sections to be written by a much larger, more competent, yet much less expensive team. In fact, you can see some of the results on your page right now.

"And this monthly bandwidth and edge-hosting charge!?!? You agreed to that? Perhaps you don't have the skills for this after all. Mr. Washington has already negotiated services at a 10th of the price, and it includes an arrangement for 20 of the finest Bollywood films injected every month, with a residual income flow to you from the company as well as from the banner ads.

"You don't like banner ads? Oh, Mr. Jones, I think you will like banner ads a lot. Which do you like better? Horizontal? Vertical?

"Now, about this monthly donation to your church's "Pakistani Children's Fund." Do you think that it is a little on the high side?"

Never underestimate their intelligence, always underestimate their knowledge.

Frank Delaney ~ Ireland

by siegestate (siegestate or beyondwarispeace.com) on Wed Dec 3rd, 2008 at 04:51:07 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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