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Economy 62%
Iraq 10%
Health Care 9%
Terrorism 9%

38% believe Palin is qualified to be president.
67% believe Biden is qualified.

57% believe Obama understands their problems.
40% believe McCain does.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Tue Nov 4th, 2008 at 05:37:42 PM EST
This is all from a commenter at dKos:

New Voters are 10% of the electorate today.  They are voting for Obama 2-to-1 in Ohio and Virginia, 3-to-1 in Indiana.

Among White Men:

McCain +10 in Indiana
McCain +4 in Ohio
McCain +19 in Virginia

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Tue Nov 4th, 2008 at 05:40:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Also from a commenter at dKos:

Late Deciders:

Obama +7 in Indiana
Obama +15 in Ohio
McCain +11 in Virginia

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Tue Nov 4th, 2008 at 05:41:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Those are good numbers for Obama.

AND, I'll point out ...

I was right!  I was right!  neener! neener! neener!

The Ground Game payed off.

by ATinNM on Tue Nov 4th, 2008 at 05:45:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Devastating!

In the end, might makes right. Nothing has changed since the caveman.
by THE Twank (yatta blah blah @ blah.com) on Tue Nov 4th, 2008 at 05:48:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I'll be thrilled if you were right.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Tue Nov 4th, 2008 at 05:48:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Prediction: @ 3:51 MST

Obama takes Indiana.

See if I'm a doofus in about 10 minutes.  :-)

by ATinNM on Tue Nov 4th, 2008 at 05:52:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]
My dear AT, I hope you're right.

Woo.  I am nervous, nervous, nervous.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Tue Nov 4th, 2008 at 05:56:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]
From MyDD:

Per Fox News, 10 percent of voters are voting for the first time, about the same as the 11 percent in 2004. In the following states, these voters broke down as follows:

    Indiana: Obama 73 percent/McCain 23 percent
    Ohio: Obama 69 percent/McCain 31 percent
    Virginia: Obama 63 percent/McCain 36 percent

White men make up 36 percent of the electorate, the same as in 2004.

    Indiana: Obama 44 percent/McCain 54 percent (Kerry 34/Bush 65 in 2004)
    Ohio: Obama 47 percent/McCain 51 percent (Kerry 43/Bush 56 in 2004)
    Virginia: Obama 39 percent/McCain 58 percent (Kerry 27/Bush 72 in 2004)

These numbers are very early, but at first glance it appears that Obama is doing significantly better among white men than John Kerry.

by ATinNM on Tue Nov 4th, 2008 at 05:49:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]
That'd sure be nice.  Looks like potentially one helluva reverse-Bradley Effect in Virginia, but let's not count chickens.  I'm still very nervous unless and until they call it for O.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Tue Nov 4th, 2008 at 05:52:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Heaps of salt needed probably, but Drudge says the exits point to Obama by 15 in Pennsylvania.

That'd be nice, but I won't hold my breath.  He also says, generally "EXIT POLLS SHOW OBAMA BIG".

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Tue Nov 4th, 2008 at 05:51:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]
About when do you expect results worth to look at from...

  • Georgia,
  • Indiana,
  • Florida,
  • Ohio,
  • Virginia?

(Listed in decreasing order of my interest)

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Tue Nov 4th, 2008 at 05:56:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Indiana is closing in a couple of minutes.

Florida, Georgia, and Virginia at 7:00 EST

Ohio at 7:30 EST.

by ATinNM on Tue Nov 4th, 2008 at 06:01:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I'm not asking polls closing times, but results times, given the dismissal of exit polls by everyone who is in the know.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Tue Nov 4th, 2008 at 06:02:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]
No idea.  Could be a long wait, could be quite early.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Tue Nov 4th, 2008 at 06:03:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]
They haven't called Indiana -- GREAT NEWS!

Unfortunately, that means we won't have any results until sometime after 7:00 EST or 1:00 CET.

by ATinNM on Tue Nov 4th, 2008 at 06:10:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]
So, when can we expect Indiana's vote counts?

Most economists teach a theoretical framework that has been shown to be fundamentally useless. -- James K. Galbraith
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Nov 4th, 2008 at 06:06:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]
7PM, actually.  Only part of Indiana closes at 6.  NW (Gary, East Chicago, etc) closes at 7, along with SW (Evansville?).  So we can't really know the full story until 7 at the earliest, I'd guess.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Tue Nov 4th, 2008 at 06:09:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Anecdotal evidence from Philly is that the AA turn-out is going to approach 98%.

(Wonder who they are voting for? :-)

If this carries across the South we could take North Carolina, Georgia, South Carolina, Louisiana, AND

tah-dah!

Texas.

that last from a combination of AA and Latino coming hard for the O-man.

Yes, I still haven't given-up on Texas.  

by ATinNM on Tue Nov 4th, 2008 at 05:57:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]
New Voters Overall:

Obama 72
McCain 27

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Tue Nov 4th, 2008 at 05:54:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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