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I think the time is now to start beating the drums for a sixième république. After 4+ years of that (and of Sarkozy) it is quite likely the leaders of such a movement would win a Presidential election on a platform of constitutional reform.

Waiting until 6 to 18 months before the next presidential election risks losing again.

We have met the enemy, and he is us — Pogo

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sun Feb 24th, 2008 at 05:13:21 PM EST
A problem is that the function determines the candidate ; people who become Presidential candidates are quite egomaniacal already, and are not the kind of people who will once elected decrease their own powers. See how Mitterrand was denouncing the coup d'état permanent in 1965, but was quite happy with being an elected monarch once he got the position. Royal had shown some autocratic tendencies too. See also Jospin who thought he could get elected himself, and thus agreed on the disastrous decision to hold the presidential election in 2002 before the parliamentary elections, and thus forever.

The presidential election is very personal and is not actually fought on a platform. All candidates promise constitutional changes more or less diminishing their powers, but will they actually follow through ?

There is a strong streak in the French electorate for the concept of the powerful single man, since Napoléon ; see De Gaulle, Mitterrand. Parliamentary blocks, coalitions, are quite far from the French political culture, and bad memories of the Fourth Republic are constantly reinforced.

Auferre, trucidare, rapere, falsis nominibus imperium; atque, ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.

by linca (antonin POINT lucas AROBASE gmail.com) on Sun Feb 24th, 2008 at 09:32:36 PM EST
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