My working thesis, it's a bit bland, but some people don't seem to get it, so maybe it's not so bland.
I expect Clinton also to lose Lousiana big, and probably also Maine tomorrow, so she's going to come out of this weekend about 50-60 pledged delegates behind.
I don't expect him to win Maine, but, if he does, it'll be a very nice add-on for them. Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
Blacks and kids don't work, or something. And you know how many of them there are in Nebraska. Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
The reason is psychological, and it's pretty basic psychology. Caucusing is just a bigger investment, requiring higher motivation. The people who back Clinton have a bit less of that -- they're just not sure about Obama.
So Obama is also going to beat his poll numbers in Maine, I think, by about 30% (e.g. if he's polling 40 he'll get 54).
Yeah, I don't get the spin either. But, as Matt Taibbi pointed out, you can send anything up the flag pole, and these dopey reporters will recite it.
Example: "The 'surge' is working." Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
Now, granted, Obama tends to outperform the polls in caucus states. In fact, I think he has done so in all caucus states and most, if not all, primary states.
I think the story is that, if Obama continues on this pace, he can finish off the race in Ohio and Texas. He just got the endorsement of the big paper in Cleveland, but he was polling at 19% last I checked against Hillary's 48%. That's an unbelievably steep hill to climb. Texas -- again, last I checked -- was at 48-38% for Clinton, although she was down 3pts and Obama was up 21. Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
Rather less for Clinton than the exits suggested. Early voting for Edwards, a lot?
Obama 54% Clinton 37%
Where'd the other 9-10% go? Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
Update 15: Most of New Orleans, All of Baton Rouge, Shreveport, Lafayette, and Alexandria Have Not Yet Reported
I don't know if that's true. Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
