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I'm very skeptical too. A military war against Iran would be stupendously stupid for the US as a whole but...

But my inner Diogenes keeps reminding me that there is no such thing as "we".

As it seems that the Potemkin economy cannot be sustained until the election no matter how much liquidity the Fed pumps in, the recession will be in full swing by November and the Republicans are going be wiped out. It's going to be a wholesale massacre on the scale of 1932.

That is, unless something very spectacular falls the Republican way. And a shooting war a little bit before the elections is the only thing I can think of. The old patriotic con would work, again. Especially with a pro-war vet tough-guy candidate like McCain.

So, I'm a bit jittery. I can't convince myself that they are that depraved but with those gentlemen, there is no such thing as "too cynical".


Facts, selfish little bastards. They don't even care about your feelings.

by Francois in Paris on Wed Mar 26th, 2008 at 01:55:48 AM EST
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That's my main fear at this stage: a last double-or-nothing play.

On the other hand, their timing would need to be perfect, because a military campaign that set off an immediate disaster for US forces in Iraq would lose them everything. How sure are they that they won't lose a carrier or a lot of troops in Iraq?

by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Wed Mar 26th, 2008 at 05:22:11 AM EST
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Not to mention that if they run it too close to election time they risk voters interpreting it as a cheap ploy to help their candidate.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Wed Mar 26th, 2008 at 05:23:08 AM EST
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heh, the one thing you know is that it wouldn't be is cheap, on any level.

/snarkaroo

The person who says it cannot be done should not interrupt the person doing it. Chinese Proverb.

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Wed Mar 26th, 2008 at 04:45:54 PM EST
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Yes- that's exactly the way it would be perceived, ---and accurately, of course. Hunger has an uncanny ability to focus the mind.
I return to one of my favorite analogies- the "we"  (and there IS a we) can be likened to a jewel in which each facet is a window through which the heart of man can be glimpsed-- but they are all different hearts.

Obama has recently made us look into a window that has not been much viewed of late- one in which empathy- the ability to take the other- to walk that mile in those other shoes- is central, and reveals truths that should have been apparent all along, - the nasty consequences of policies based on a cynical, zero-sum view are suddenly obvious,--again.

Should any European government support nuclear first-use in Iran, or even tolerate it, it would likely fall, I think. And Europe is sufficiently decoupled to survive the US meltdown intact, I think, thanks to the EU.

That said,---  any theater piece trumped up by the Bushwits of a lesser dramatic nature just might be inadequate to the task of diverting the American people from an empty bank account- or a failed bank.

 

"There is mysterious music in democracy, when people decide to believe in themselves." ---Bill Greider, The Nation.

by geezer in Paris (risico at wanadoo(flypoop)fr) on Thu Mar 27th, 2008 at 06:10:55 AM EST
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