Display:
In the U.S. you can buy TIPS--Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities--if you're worried about inflation. So many people are jumping into them, though, that the rates are horrible...

Millions of Americans are rushing into these securities to protect against rising prices. But this stampede has sent yields plunging to record lows. Today these bonds offer a poor long-term bet. TIPS, issued by Uncle Sam, are safe from default and guarantee a certain annual yield above the official inflation rate. So if inflation rises, the yield rises in lockstep.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB120441379580905695.html?mod=googlenews_wsj
by asdf on Mon Mar 3rd, 2008 at 08:46:46 AM EST
You probably know that under Clinton the definition of the CPI was completely changed?

Some examples from ftd:
Cars, an international tradable goog, have become 6% cheaper between 1996 and now in the US according to the official CPI. In the Euro area in the same time cars have become 14% more expansive. Do you think the Dollar has rocketed in that time against the Euozone currencies? Anyhow this will only be adjusted for core inflation, which not includes e.g. oil and food prices and house renting has become 43% more expansive in that time (according to CPI), while the Shiller index increased 160%.

The trick is e.g. the hedonistic CPI calculation in the US. If a computer doubles its price, but has double the memory and processor capacity, in the US it counts as no inflation. In Europe a computer is a computer. For cars probably kW or whatsoever is used to determine the 'hedonistic use'.
Another trick is geometric CPI calculation. Let's say you have big cars and small cars and initially you both are bought to 50%. So now big cars become more expensive, but small cars don't because e.g. a Tata motors introduces a new cheaper car in the market. Then the US CPI calculation says, Ok as you can substitute aone type of car with another type of a car, likely more people will buy now small cars instead of big cars and you end up e.g. with only 35% buyers of a big car for the CPI calculation, for sure a Porsche driver won't care that he now drives a Tata. Or e.g. with more people eating the 1$ Burger instead of the steak.

If you want your money secured with something closer to what you would accept as CPI, you should buy inflation protected bonds denominated in Euro with the ECB inflation measure.

Der Amerikaner ist die Orchidee unter den Menschen
Volker Pispers

by Martin (weiser.mensch(at)googlemail.com) on Mon Mar 3rd, 2008 at 09:31:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Buy eurobonds or something instead. Eh...

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Mon Mar 3rd, 2008 at 06:06:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]
If one has a special reason to have inflation adjusted bonds, one should take inflation adjusted bonds, they exist in the Euro area as well.
If there is no special reason for inflation adjustment, one can as well buy US Muni bonds, they are as well very safe and have a higher return. There is no guarantee that there will be a high inflation in the future, although it can happen. Some serious economists think deflation could be as well a problem.
The diary is actually incorrect when it states, that the ECB has flooded the marked with extral liquidity. At the same time when lending out worth about half a trillion dollars, it was borrowing back from the market a very similar sum. The ECB did not introduce new liquidity. The Fed didn't as well. The reason was that the interbank lending rates were much above what they were targeted by the ECB. So in the (correct) assumption, that none of the banks to which it was lending will go bankrupt during the time it lends, the ECB only revived the interbank lending, which stopped, because the banks lost confidence into each other.

Der Amerikaner ist die Orchidee unter den Menschen
Volker Pispers
by Martin (weiser.mensch(at)googlemail.com) on Mon Mar 3rd, 2008 at 06:32:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The rates are horrible, or not, depending on your inflation forecast.

We have met the enemy, and he is us — Pogo
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Mar 5th, 2008 at 06:43:53 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Display:
Login
. Make a new account
. Reset password
Recommended Diaries
Clipping the wings of a judge
by Migeru - Feb 10
47 comments

Sarkozy: Enemies Ahoy!
by afew - Feb 10
32 comments

Hunger March wins PR battle
by DoDo - Feb 9
3 comments

LQD: Unsustainable irrigation
by Melanchthon - Feb 9
1 comment

Romania: protests change government
by DoDo - Feb 8
6 comments

Murdoch - Outsourcing and Hubris
by ceebs - Feb 3
18 comments

Obama wins GOP Primaries (to date)
by Frank Schnittger - Feb 8
9 comments

Bristol Pound
by ChrisCook - Feb 7
14 comments

Recent Diaries
Sarkozy: Enemies Ahoy!
by afew - Feb 10
32 comments

Clipping the wings of a judge
by Migeru - Feb 10
47 comments

LQD: Unsustainable irrigation
by Melanchthon - Feb 9
1 comment

Hunger March wins PR battle
by DoDo - Feb 9
3 comments

Obama wins GOP Primaries (to date)
by Frank Schnittger - Feb 8
9 comments

Romania: protests change government
by DoDo - Feb 8
6 comments

Answers to the Renewable Energy Consultation
by Luis de Sousa - Feb 7

Bristol Pound
by ChrisCook - Feb 7
14 comments

The Imitation Of Germany
by afew - Feb 4
31 comments

Strange Fruit
by Frank Schnittger - Feb 4
14 comments

Murdoch - Outsourcing and Hubris
by ceebs - Feb 3
18 comments

Mismatch with the Natural Gas Market
by Luis de Sousa - Feb 3
22 comments

The Future of Economics
by ARGeezer - Feb 2
191 comments

Desert Island Discs - Helen's distortions
by Helen - Jan 31
48 comments

Gorila
by DoDo - Jan 29
14 comments

Rail News Blogging #7
by DoDo - Jan 29
15 comments

Obama's State Of The Union: LQD
by Crazy Horse - Jan 25
74 comments

Democracy Technology
by gmoke - Jan 24
1 comment

The Hydrogen dream
by Luis de Sousa - Jan 24
49 comments

ET Paris Meet-Up 2012 (2 UPDATE)
by afew - Jan 23
113 comments

More Diaries...
Occasional Series